Proposal summaries
B3524 - The association between different modes of delivery for childbirth and sexual health a studying using ALSPAC data - 04/05/2020
Sexual health can impact upon a personâs quality of life. Being pregnant and having a child can affect a womanâs body and mind in a way that may affect their sexual health. We know that when couples have babies, their sexual activity is likely be low in the first few months after the birth. Yet what we don't know is if the mode of delivery (in other words having a vaginal or a ceasrean delivery) affects female sexual health, particularly in the medium to long-term.
B3518 - Using a machine learning approach to develop and validate a prediction model for the onset of hypomania - 12/05/2020
Bipolar disorder (BD) is a debilitating mental health condition, characterised by severe shifts in mood, that can range from disabling highs (i.e., mania/hypomania) to extreme lows (i.e., depression). Approximately 1% of the population are affected by bipolar (Pini et al., 2005), with most people experiencing the onset of mood symptoms prior to their 20s (Geoffroy et al., 2013). Despite this, little is known about the predictors to bipolar disorder and hypomania symptoms, particularly among young people. Intervening early in the development of bipolar is a top clinical priority, and one that may have the potential to limit its functional and symptomatic impact on those affected. Thus, predicting the onset of bipolar/hypomania prior to its onset, may help clinicians/researchers to develop novel, tailored preventative strategies and interventions for young people.
B3523 - Fine-mapping of vascular reactivity loci using human artery multi-omics analyses - 01/05/2020
Vascular diseases such as hypertension, migraine, and atherosclerosis (hardening of arteries) involve changes in vascular cell function with reduced ability to contract and relax in response to different stresses. This results in chronic alterations in artery blood flow and maladaptive structural changes to the vascular wall leading to injury, tissue damage, and increased risk for life-threatening diseases such as stroke and heart attacks. Given that naturally occurring genetic variation contributes to changes in vascular function along with environmental risk from early life stages, it is now critical to evaluate the effects of these genetic associations at this stage using more systematic approaches. We plan to integrate these vascular phenotype data with high resolution molecular data to better understand how these genetic risk factors impact vascular disease risk at an early age.
B3522 - The Healthier Together Population Data Platform - 01/05/2020
Health and care services are increasingly planned and provided using patient data shared securely across multiple health-care settings. However, we know that peopleâs health is influenced by a wide range of things, including social, cultural, and economic factors. Unfortunately, we donât currently have data resources that link information about these things to improve service planning, individual care and research.
Our project will fund the information technology and people to bring together information from multiple sources, including, local councils and other services such as the police, as well as the detailed data collected as part of research studies. We will do this using secure technologies and protecting patientsâ confidentiality.
By combining and analysing data, we will be able to work with public services to help identify people at higher risk of a condition or disease, and deliver better, more joined up care that is both more effective and offers better value.
B3521 - HDR-UK South West Better Care Partnership - 01/05/2020
Better Care South-West Partnership is a collaboration of NHS commissioners, primary, secondary, community and mental health care providers, local authorities, and academia. They look to address real-world health problems using the Bristol, North Somerset and South Gloucestershire (BNSSG) Systemwide health and social care dataset and have an ambition to use individual-level, linked routine care and administrative data to deliver a learning, Integrated Care System for the local population.
The Partnership represents a step change in using advanced analytics to deliver Better Care Loops across a care system and benefit patients and partner organisations. Its results will be scalable across the region and nationally.
Research Projects
· P-NEWS: personalised early warning scores for preventing unplanned critical care admission
· Precision antimicrobial prescribing: safeguarding patient outcomes and preserving future efficacy
· Using operation research methods to improve flow between acute and social care: modelling the responsiveness of system-level expenditure to changes in social care capacity
· Improving hospital efficiency by forecasting demand for hospital beds
· Underpinning infrastructure to the BNSSG Systemwide dataset
B3519 - The impact of COVID-19 Lockdown on family interactions and infant behaviours - 30/04/2020
The impact of the public health measures adopted to control the COVID-19 pandemic on young infants and family interactions is unknown. New information is vital to inform future policies and recovery for families and aid infant development. Infants may show more unsettled and
restless behaviours even if they are not aware of the situation, however, they may also show positive behaviours benefiting from more parental attention if parents are home. Understanding of both is important to manage further transitions in an ever changing home environment. Furthermore , young children will have been separated from wider family and friends. Online chats may provide a helpful substitute to retain attachments, but how young infants respond to such interactions is unknown . Using our existing methods to code indepeth parent and infant verbal and non-verbal behaviours we can compare parent and infant behaviours in interactions at this time to already collected and coded interactions of ALSPAC-G2 families pre-pandemic. We can also compare infant behaviours towards parents in the same room and a mimicked online interaction (where the one parent joins a chat from another room).
B3520 - Host genetic effects on covid-19 susceptibility and outcomes - 01/05/2020
It is not clear why some people who are exposed to sars-cov-2 (the coronavirus) only develop mild symptoms while others go on to have life-threatening infections. Age and pre-existing medical problems are important, but it is likely that genetic factors also explain why some people are more susceptible to infection. One way to identify the most relevant genetic factors is to screen millions of points across the whole human genome and see which markers are more or less common in people with infection.
This type of analysis (called a genome-wide association study) needs very large studies to generate reliable results, and it is common to run the anlaysis in multiple different studies and then combine results. A global consortium has recently been set up to co-ordinate analysis of host genetic factors and coronavirus. This proposal plans to run genome-wide analysis in ALSPAC and share the results of this anlaysis which can then be combined with other studies globally. To do this it will be necessary to re-impute (re-process) the existing ALSPAC genetic data into an updated format so the results of analysis matches other studies.
B3517 - Longitudinal prevalence of covid-19 symptoms in the ALSPAC cohorts - 28/04/2020
Infection by the sars-cov-2 virus (coronavirus) causes a range of flu-like symptoms which can be mild or serious. To date, testing for coronavirus in the Bristol area has focussed on people with severe symptoms. This means that existing test results do not give a full picture of how many people in the Bristol area have already had coronavirus infection.
Rather than using tests, it may be possible to track the spread of coronavirus over time by looking at how many people are experiencing flu-like symptoms. This analysis plans to divide flu-like symptoms into two groups (those which are specific to coronavirus and those which are common in many types of cold or flu) and compare how the rate of these has changed between October 2019 and June 2020. This may give more information about the posible true rate of mild infection in the Bristol area, as well as how the number of people with coronavirus is changing over time.
B3515 - Non-invasive Characterisation Diagnosis Prognosis of COVID-19 Respiratory Infection - 27/04/2020
B3514 - Quantifying social contact patterns during the COVID-19 epidemic - 24/04/2020
Quantifying social contacts is essential for understanding how a disease will spread in a population. We have measured contact patterns using surveys that have formed the basis of predictive modelling presented at the UK Government Modelling advisory group on COVID-19. Here, we will measure social contact patterns during this unprecedented time of social distancing in the UK and compare to other studies and settings.
B3516 - Exploring the associations between paternal postnatal depression aspects of involvement and parenting and child development - 24/04/2020
There is strong epidemiological evidence to suggest that paternal postnatal depression (PPD) is associated with adverse offspring developmental outcomes in early childhood. However, few large prospective longitudinal studies have examined whether these adverse outcomes persist into later childhood (7 years of age). Furthermore, the offspring outcomes are heterogenous and effect sizes are small to moderate. Thus, it is important to elucidate putative mechanisms, i.e. mediating factors, that underly associations between PPD and offspring adverse developmental outcomes. Such insights are crucial to highlight those at greater risk and develop targeted interventions to reduce adverse outcomes in offspring of depressed fathers. A substantial body of evidence suggests that an important potential mediator is the quality of parenting. Specifically, evidence suggests that PPD disrupts paternal levels of involvement with the offspring and quality of parenting (e.g., bonding, enjoyment, confidence), which, in turn, is associated with adverse offspring outcomes, including emotional and behavioural problems. However, few population-based studies have examined potential explanatory role of fathersâ involvement and parenting in the association between PPD and offspring development using longitudinal mediation models.
B3512 - What are the dietary lifestyle and socio-demographic predictors of metabolically healthy obesity in adolescence - 21/04/2020
The on-going childhood obesity epidemic is accompanied by dramatic increases in childhood metabolic disorders, such as paediatric type 2 diabetes and a cluster of metabolic complications. However, children with obesity are not all equally prone to developing these metabolic disorders; research has shown that there is a subset of obese children who have a more âfavourableâ health profile, including good insulin sensitivity and normal blood pressure, glucose regulation and blood lipid levels. This has been termed metabolically healthy obesity (MHO), which contrasts with metabolically unhealthy obesity (MUO), where excess body fat is accompanied by metabolic disorders. Since most of the research to date on MHO and MUO has focused on adults, the specific determinants of MHO and MUO in paediatric groups are still not clearly understood.
The concept of metabolically unhealthy and metabolically healthy profiles can also be applied to individuals of ânormalâ weight, since normal-weight individuals can also have the metabolic and/or inflammatory abnormalities commonly observed in obese people. This group has been termed normal-weight metabolically unhealthy (NWMU). NWMU adults are also at increased risk of cardiometabolic diseases, however, little is known about the health profile and predictive characteristics of NWMU in children.
The relatively high proportion of metabolically healthy individuals in the obese (ranging from 4-60%) and metabolically unhealthy individuals in the lean population suggests that besides from total calories, diet quality could be an important influencing factor on metabolic health. However, few studies have looked at how dietary patterns in children might influence the sub-groups of obesity. Therefore, this study aims to identify which dietary patterns, lifestyle behaviours and socio-demographic factors in children are related to MHO and MUO, as well as NWMU in adolescents. Gaining a clearer understanding of the health profile, characteristics and potential determinants of MHO and MUO in paediatric groups could be valuable in developing more efficient and targeted treatment approaches for these groups of children with obesity.
B3513 - Record Linkage to support Covid-19 Research in ALSPAC Immediate Covid-19 research objectives - 24/04/2020
ALSPAC is well-placed to contribute to the national/international Covid-19 research effort given it has an extensive archive of data about participants health and wellbeing and circumstances prior to the Covid-19 outbreak and is now collecting data specifically related to Covid-19. These data can be used with our biobank and genetic data.
This project seeks to enhance these data with NHS and other Covid-19 records. These will bring timely information about symptoms, help-seeking and care and disease outcomes. It will allow ALSPAC to look at Covid-19 specific health (i.e. the health of those with the virus) and wider general physical and mental health (which may be impacted by stretched NHS resources during the outbreak, or due to the 'lock-down' and social distancing).
This data will sit alongside the other health records ALSPAC have collected. The same security mechanisms will be used to keep the data confidential, and ALSPAC will not extract records from participants who have objected to this use of their data.
The records will be sourced from:
1) A new NHS national (English) repository of Covid-19 data (GP records, Hospital Records, Pharmacy data, NHS 111 call records, Ambulance Records, Mortality Records, Covid-19 testing records).
2) Respiratory care records from databases at NHS University Hospital Bristol Trust and NHS North Bristol Trust hospitals.
3) Records from the 'Zoe' symptom tracker app.
ALSPAC will immediately use the data to help understand more about the factors that influence the susceptibility and severity of Covid-19. We will also examine whether Blood Group and the FUT2 gene (and other genes) are associated with Covid-19 susceptibility.
B3511 - Environment DNA methylation and risk of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia a novel two-sample MR study - 24/04/2020
Acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) is the most common cancer in children. Whilst a range of genetic abnormalities have been identified as crucial in disease initiation, these abnormalities alone are not sufficient for transformation. Maternal exposures during pregnancy such as smoking, or folate intake have the potential to impact on offspring DNA methylation. This epigenetic mark has also been shown to be altered in ALL. We have previously identified 5 CpG sites that have altered DNA methylation due to maternal smoking and folate intake and we aim to identify whether changes to DNA methylation at these sites affects risk of ALL.
B3508 - A robust micro-assay to determine the prevalence of COVID-19 antibodies in the general population using capillary sample collect - 24/04/2020
The Diabetes and Metabolism Unit at Southmead has a long history of measuring antibodies. Over the last three years we have focused on a particular type of assay which works on very small samples of blood. We have also good systems for sending small tubes by post which allow people to take a small blood sample from their finger and post it safely back to the laboratory for antibody testing. Since the recent COVID-19 pandemic we do not know how many people have been infected by the virus and this is a very important question. We have been working closely with a research group in Milan who have developed a test to work out who has been infected with Covid-19 because they have antibodies to the virus. Initial tests suggest that this assay works well on very small blood samples. We are now setting up this assay in Bristol and are requesting to access some samples from ALSPAC for
1. a University of Bristol study to test different assay platforms using the same samples
2. to prospectively and safely collect low volume samples by post and use the assay to estimate the infection rate in the general population and link this to questionnaire based data regarding symptoms.
This study should allow us to work out quickly and reliably how many people in the ALSPAC population have had COVID-19.
B3509 - Effects of feeding practice on childrens eating behavior and weight growth - 20/04/2020
Children born with the ability of self-regulated cues of hunger and satiety. During early life, this ability is developed in a good way will facilitate healthy eating behaviours, which may be associated appropriate weight gain. In the first two years, milk feeding and complementary feeding are main feeding aspectsï¼which could have impact on childrenâs self-regulation of hunger and satiety cues. Previous studies showed that breastfeeding duration and timing of solid food introduction were associated with childrenâs eating behaviours(eg. enjoyment of food, food fussiness, picky eating, eating slowly, overeating and so on) and weight growth. For example, Samantha L. Rogers found that breastfeeding duration was related to slower weight gain during 1 to 6 month and 1 to 12 month, and that breastfeeding duration was associated with slowness in eating at 12 m. Wang jing found that introducing complementary foods before 4 months of age compared to at 4~6 months was associated with and increased risk of being overweight and obesity during children. These findings indicated that infant feeding practice may exert an important role on development of childrenâs weight health However, the evidence about the relationship between concrete feeding mode such as bottle feeding, breast feeding, feeding on demand and childrenâs eating behaviors and weight growth were limited. Whether childrenâs eating behaviors and related gene variant play a mediated role on the relationship between feeding practices and weight gain also deserves exploring from a longitudinal perspective.
B3510 - Developmental Origins of Health and Disease as mediated and moderated by social determinants within the family - 28/04/2020
The proposed study aims to identify biomarkers (DNA methylation and measures of health) of stress and early-life adversity that indicate risk and resilience for health, and the potential mitigation of health risks by family-related social factors. We want to explore this within the child, and investigate the possible intergenerational transmission of maternal experience to child health.
B3504 - The role of children and school closures in the transmission of COVID-19 - 30/04/2020
School closures have been a central component of many countriesâ response to contain COVID-19; however, we donât know:
⢠What children do during unplanned school closures
⢠Whether children are infectious
⢠Whether other strategies could be equally effective.
Much of the policy is based on influenza, which does affect children more than SARS-CoV-2 [1].
Preliminary evidence suggests that children are able to become infected with SARS-CoV-2, but are either asymptomatic or show mild symptoms, with a minority of cases progressing to disease [2]. The role of healthy children in transmitting SARS-CoV-2 remains uncertain. It is of interest to define how many children do/donât experience COVID-19 symptoms and have evidence of having had SARS-CoV-2 infection, this may have implications for transmission dynamics and policy decisions. Along with many European countries, the UK decided to close schools from March 23rd in an effort to slow SARS-CoV-2 transmission - only some vulnerable children and those of key workers remain in school. We do not know what childrenâs contact patterns are during this unplanned school closure, but there is evidence that contacts inside and outside the home might continue, especially for older children and where parents donât agree with closures [3]. We propose to deploy a survey to G2 ALSPAC children to capture data on symptoms and contact patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic, as well determine evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection through saliva antibody detection methods.
B3505 - Maternal iodine status in pregnancy and association with social/behavioural disorders in offspring - 17/04/2020
Iodine is essential during pregnancy as it is required for fetal brain development. It is known that low iodine status in pregnancy is linked to lower IQ and reading ability scores. In some other cohorts mild-to-moderate deficiency or subtle impairments of maternal thyroid function has been linked to conditions such as ADHD and autism. We now want to explore the relationship between mild-to-moderate iodine deficiency in UK women with social/behavioural disorders in children.
B3506 - Examining patterns and predictors of mental health during and in response to COVID-19 - 17/04/2020
The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has had and will continue to have an unprecedented effect of daily living for the foreseeable future. Aside from the obvious effects of COVID-19 on physical health, this pandemic is also likely to have a profound effect on mental health. The knock on effects on mental health could be far reaching and long term especially if not understood and managed.
In addition, it is likely to exacerbate existing inequalities and the costs are likely to be felt disproportionately to the already most vulnerable ( those with a history of mental illness, job and housing insecurity , poor neighbourhoods , single parents and those in abusive relationships).
A number of rapid surveys have indicated an initial perceived rise in depression and anxiety symptoms. However, without pre-pandemic information, an accurate indication of the change is not possible. This is essential for modelling projected risk which needs to be taken into account when planning further policy regarding social distancing and lock down enforcements.
Longitudinal data is thus crucial. It is also important to identify at risk groups who could benefit from immediate help and planning for currently unknown policies for recovery stages. This project will use the unique data hosted by ALSPAC to examine how and why mental health changes as a result of the public health policies adopted during the COVID-19 pandemic.