Proposal summaries

These are research proposals that have been approved by the ALSPAC exec. The titles include a B number which identifies the proposal and the date on which the proposals received ALSPAC exec approval.

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B2034 - A large-scale haplotype reference resource UK10K - 20/06/2013

B number: 
B2034
Principal applicant name: 
Dr Richard Durbin (Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute, London, UK)
Co-applicants: 
Dr Nic Timpson (University of Bristol, UK), Prof George Davey Smith (University of Bristol, UK), Dr Jonathan Marchini (University of Oxford, UK)
Title of project: 
A large-scale haplotype reference resource (UK10K).
Proposal summary: 

The aim is to bring together full genome genotype data from greater than 20,000 low coverage whole genome sequenced samples from multiple projects (all now in principle available), to construct a haplotype reference for imputation. The first phase, to be carried out during the next few months, is to evaluate different strategies for combining and using data for accuracy and practicality. Then in a second phase we would want to enable imputation by others for sample collections with genotype data. Here we just ask for permission for the first phase. Further discussion will be needed about how to establish access for the second phase.

Date proposal received: 
Thursday, 20 June, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Thursday, 20 June, 2013
Keywords: 
Genetics, Methods, UK10K
Primary keyword: 

B2033 - Examining if polygenic risk scores for ADHD from a clinical sample predict school performance and IQ in ALSPAC - 20/06/2013

B number: 
B2033
Principal applicant name: 
Dr Evie Stergiakouli (University of Bristol, UK)
Co-applicants: 
Dr Denise Daley (University of Bristol, UK)
Title of project: 
Examining if polygenic risk scores for ADHD from a clinical sample predict school performance and IQ in ALSPAC.
Proposal summary: 

Although individual genetic markers from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) usually explain limited heritability especially in psychiatric traits, polygenic scores can be a better way to summarise genetic effects of a large number of markers that do not individually achieve geneome-wide significance. (Dudbridge, 2013). This approach has been applied succesfully to schizophrenia (Purcell et al, 2009) and bipolar disorder (Hamshere et al, 2011).

Attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is a highly heritable neurodevelopmental disorder. Traits of ADHD are present in family members of those with the conditions, as well as in the general population. Learning disabilities are common in ADHD with up to 40% of children with a diagnosis of ADHD presenting with them (Willcutt et al, 2000). In addition, neurocognitive deficits are seen in ADHD with executive function being the primary deficit (Willcutt et al, 2000). Given the attention problems that children with ADHD face, it is expected that their school performance will be affected.

Our hypothesis is that polygenic risk scores based on a clinical sample of ADHD will predict educational attainment and IQ in children from the general polulation.

Polygenic risk scores were calcualted on ALSPAC children using a GWAS of 727 ADHD patients and 5,081 controls (Stergiakouli et al, 2012) as a discovery sample (project B1342) and were provided by colleagues in Cardiff.

Aims of proposal:

To test if polygenic risk scores predict school performance in ALSPAC children using SATS school scores. We are expecting that higher polygenic scores for ADHD will be associated with worse performance in school.

To test if polygenic risk scores predict IQ in ALSPAC children using the WASI IQ score from Focus@3 clinic. We are expecting that higher polygenic scores for ADHD will be associated with lower IQ scores at age 15.

The training sample GWAS from Cardiff did not identify any genome-wide significant hits but it did find that 13 biological pathways enriched for SNP association significantly overlapped with those enriched for rare CNVs. These included cholesterol-related pathways. At the level of individual genes, CHRNA7, which encodes a nicotinic receptor subunit previously implicated in neuropsychiatric disorders, was affected by six large duplications in case subjects (none in comparison subjects) (Stergiakouli et al, 2012). Our hypothesis is that polygenic risk scores based on genetic variants from the GWAS mentioned above could predict obesity and smoking behaviour in the general population.

Aims of proposal:

To test if polygenic risk scores predict BMI at ages 7, 9 and 15 and lipid levels at age 9.

To test if polygenic risk scores predict smoking behaviour at age 15.

Date proposal received: 
Wednesday, 12 June, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Thursday, 20 June, 2013
Keywords: 
Cognitive Function, Genetics, Methods
Primary keyword: 

B2032 - Associations between trajectories of maternal depression with childs cognition and later psychosis-related outcomes - 20/06/2013

B number: 
B2032
Principal applicant name: 
Dr Stefanie De Silva (Deakin University Burwood Campus Melbourne, Australia)
Co-applicants: 
Dr Liam Mahedy (University of Bristol, UK), Dr Stan Zammitt (University of Bristol, UK), Mohajer A Hameed (Deakin University Burwood Campus Melbourne, Australia), Dr Andrew J Lewis (Deakin University Burwood Campus Melbourne, Australia)
Title of project: 
Associations between trajectories of maternal depression, with child's cognition and later psychosis-related outcomes.
Proposal summary: 

Project 1

Aims: To investigate the relationship between trajectories of maternal perinatal depression, and childhood neurocognition and social cognition.

Hypotheses: It is anticipated that more severe trajectories of maternal perinatal depression over time will be significantly associated with childhood deficits in neurocognition and social cognition in the study child.

Exposure variables: Maternal perinatal depression

Outcome variables: Social cognition (Theory of mind, locus of control, emotional recognition, social communication) and neurocognition (IQ, executive function, verbal comprehension, memory, attention, inhibition, reasoning)

Confounding variables: Family psychiatric history, mother's age at delivery, gestation, family ethnicity, parity, marital status, housing tenure, social class, disposable income, maternal education, urbanicity, smoking/drinking in and pre pregnancy, problematic partner relationship, maternal affective disorder (anxiety, suicidality), abuse of drugs, involvement with crime, child's gender, birthweight, breastfeeding in first year, childhood psychiatric disorder

Project 2

Aims: To investigate the relationship between trajectories of maternal perinatal depression and later psychotic-like experiences, at-risk mental state, and psychosis.

Hypotheses: It is anticipated that more severe trajectories of maternal perinatal depression over time will be significantly associated with the risk of later psychotic-like experiences, at-risk mental state, and psychosis in the study child.

Exposure variables: Maternal perinatal depression

Outcome variables: Psychotic-like experiences, at-risk mental state, psychosis

Confounding variables: Family psychiatric history, mother's age at delivery, gestation, family ethnicity, parity, marital status, housing tenure, social class, disposable income, maternal education, urbanicity, smoking/drinking in and pre pregnancy, problematic partner relationship, maternal affective disorder (anxiety, suicidality), abuse of drugs, involvement with crime, child's gender, birthweight, breastfeeding in first year, childhood psychiatric disorder

Project 3

Aims: To investigate whether the relationship between between trajectories of maternal perinatal depression and later psychotic-like experiences, at-risk mental state, or psychosis are mediated by cognition in childhood.

Hypotheses: It is anticipated that the association between more severe trajectories of maternal perinatal depression and the risk of later psychotic-like experiences, at-risk mental state, or psychosis in the study child will be stronger when the study child experienced cognitive deficits in childhood as well.

Exposure variables: Maternal perinatal depression, social cognition (theory of mind, locus of control, emotional recognition, social communication), neurocognition (IQ, executive function, verbal comprehension, memory, attention, inhibition, reasoning)

Outcome variables: Psychotic-like experiences, at-risk mental state, psychosis

Confounding variables: Family psychiatric history, mother's age at delivery, gestation, family ethnicity, parity, marital status, housing tenure, social class, disposable income, maternal education, urbanicity, smoking/drinking in and pre pregnancy, problematic partner relationship, maternal affective disorder (anxiety, suicidality), abuse of drugs, involvement with crime, child's gender, birthweight, breastfeeding in first year, childhood psychiatric disorder.

Planned analyses

We plan to examine trajectories of maternal depression over several time points using a latent class analysis. Maternal depression symptom data from pregnancy up to the study child at age 12 will be analyzed using group-based trajectory models in order to identify parents with chronic high levels of depressive symptoms. In Projects 1 and 2, we plan to run logistic regression to estimate odds ratios with a 95% confidence interval for the cognitive and psychosis-related outcomes. Multiple mediation analyses will then be carried out in order to explore the extent to which these associations are mediated by specific variables (eg. IQ, theory of mind). In order to examine the multivariate relationships in Project 3, we plan to carry out structural equation modeling. To overcome the issue of missing data, we plan to conduct sensitivity analyses using a range of auxiliary variables to carry out multiple imputations by chained equations.

We also plan to liaise with Jon Heron and Jonathan Evans in Bristol on their work with perinatal depression and trajectories.

Date proposal received: 
Wednesday, 12 June, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Thursday, 20 June, 2013
Keywords: 
Cognitive Function, Psychosis
Primary keyword: 

B2031 - The long-term effects of adolescent cannabis use on cognitive functioning - 20/06/2013

B number: 
B2031
Principal applicant name: 
Mr Jonathan Roiser (University College London, UK)
Co-applicants: 
Prof Valerie Curran (University College London, UK), Prof Marcus Munafo (University of Bristol, UK), Miss Claire Mokrysz (University College London, UK), Miss Suzanne Gage (University of Bristol, UK), Dr Jon Heron (University of Bristol, UK), Prof Matt Hickman (University of Bristol, UK), Dr Rebecca Landy (MRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing, UK)
Title of project: 
The long-term effects of adolescent cannabis use on cognitive functioning.
Proposal summary: 

Aims

The aims of this project are to assess the long-term effects of adolescent cannabis use on cognitive functioning. Previous research has suggested heavy cannabis use in the teenage years may lead to persistent neuropsychological deficits; however much of the research to date has been cross-sectional and therefore unable to assess whether pre-exposure group differences are driving the association. A recent longitudinal study found chronic heavy cannabis use was associated with a decline in IQ in those with adolescent-onset cannabis use, but not in those with adult-onset use (Meier et al, 2012). However this study had a number of important limitations, including small group sizes and failure to account for a number of potential confounding variables adequately. The present study will address these issues with an independent, larger sample, and assess other factors that may contribute to the relationship.

Research Questions

1. Is heavy cannabis use in adolescence associated with a decline in IQ?

2. Does the neuropsychological functioning of different cannabis-exposure groups differ in childhood, i.e. before onset of drug use? Do the exposure groups differ in other ways (e.g. early environment, socioeconomic status) that might influence neuropsychological functioning?

3. Does adolescent cannabis use affect cognitive function once pre-exposure functioning and other potential confounders (e.g. mental illness or socioeconomic status) have been accounted for? If so what is the size of this effect, and is this also reflected in academic acheivement?

4. Are any deficits seen globally across all neuropsychological functioning, or are they specific to certain domains (e.g. attention or decision making)?

Exposure variables:

1. Cannabis use. This measure will be defined according to lifetime reported usage between ages 13-18 years.

2. Cannabis dependence. This measure will be defined according to criteria for cannabis dependence between ages 16-18 years.

Outcome variables:

1. IQ change from childhood to adolescence. This outcome will be defined based on performance on IQ assessments completed at ages 8 and 16.

2. Neuropsychological functioning. This outcome will be defined by performance on cognitive tasks completed between ages 16-18 years.

3. Academic acheivement. This outcome will be defined by performance on academic assessments completed at school year 11 (Key Stage 4).

Confounding variables:

1. Pre-exposure neuropsychological functioning. Pre-existing differences or deficits in cognitive and academic ability are likely to be related to post-exposure functioning

2. Pre-exposure academic performance. Problems at school in childhood may influence cognitive development and may also be related to the initiation of cannabis use

3. Childhood temperament and behaviour. Childhood traits may influence cognitive development and may also be related to initiation of cannabis use

4. Mental illness (including depression, psychosis and conduct disorder) will likely influence neuropsychological functioning and task performance

5. Sex, socioeconomic status (e.g. parental years of education) and early environment/ parental factors (e.g. parental IQ or drug use) will likely influence neuropsychological functioning

6. Other substance use and dependence (including alcohol and tobacco) may influence neuropsychological functioning

7. Recent cannabis exposure at testing will likely affect performance on neuropsychological assessment due to acute (use in the past 24 hours) and residual (use in the past month) effects of the drug

Reference

Meier, M.H., Caspi, A., Ambler, A., Harrington, H., Houts, R., Keefe, R. S. E., McDonald, K., Ward, A., Poulton, R., & Moffitt, T. E. (2012) Persistent cannabis users show neuropsychological decline from childhood to midlife. PNAS, 109, 1-8.

Date proposal received: 
Tuesday, 11 June, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Thursday, 20 June, 2013
Keywords: 
Cognitive Function, Substance Use
Primary keyword: 

B2030 - Polygenic effects of offspring and maternal genotype on development methods and model applications - 20/06/2013

B number: 
B2030
Principal applicant name: 
Dr Lindon Eaves (Virginia Commonwealth University, USA)
Co-applicants: 
Mr Timothy York (Virginia Commonwealth University, USA), Ms Judy Silberg (Virginia Commonwealth University, USA), Prof Nathan Gillespie (Virginia Commonwealth University, USA), Dr Dave Evans (Univeristy of Bristol, UK), Prof George Davey Smith (Univeristy of Bristol, UK), Dr Beate St. Pourcain (Univeristy of Bristol, UK)
Title of project: 
Polygenic effects of offspring and maternal genotype on development: methods and model applications.
Proposal summary: 

Aim.

1. To develop and apply "GCTA" to genome-wide SNP data on mothers and children to resolve and estimate the contributions of the offspring and maternal genotype to dyadic outcomes, including gestational age and birthweight. This will require extending GCTA methodology to condition the genetic correlations between mothers on those among their offsping. The result of this approach will be compared with our own published findings already obtained by biometrical-genetic modeling of data based on extended kinships of twins and other informative relationships from the Virginia 30,000 study, the Virginia Birth Record Study ("VABRS"), The Virgini Children of Twins Study ("VACOTS"), and the Virginia Twin Study of Adolescent Behavioral Development ("VTSABD"). 2. Explore effects of genome-wide mother-child genetic incompatiblity on outcomes of pregnancy.

Background.

Biometrical-genetic studies of twin kinships, half-sibships and cousinships (VABRS, PI TP York) have demonstrated that differences gestational age is the effect of differences in both fetal genotype and maternal genotype. VACOTS (PI JL Silberg) has shown how the maternal genotype for antisocial behavior influences offspring depression. VTSABD (PI LJ Eaves) demonstrated that genetic influences on maternal anti-social personality exacerbated childrens' anti-social behavior through their exposure to environmenal adversity.

We propose to extend the GCTA method for using genome-wide SNP data to resolve these effects with unrelated subjects from ALSPAC. We will also attempt a preliminary resolution of genes that contribute specifically and separately to maternal and fetal influences on these dyadic outcomes. The results will be evaluated in parellel with new biometrical genetic analyses of the VBRS data (greater than 1,000,000 births).

Hypotheses.

The principal goal of this project is methodological and demonstrative. However, it is guided by the need to exploit genome-wide polymorphism data to test hypotheses about the underlying causal relationships between maternal and offspring genotype and multiple outcomes in human development. The two systems selected for initial study (gestational age and birth-weight) are models that illustrate the methodological and substantive issues. We will also apply the approach to birth-length and height at age 7 as a model system that may reflect the developmental amelioration of the environmental impact of the maternal environment. We have shown (above) that both maternal and fetal genotypes affect gestational age. Further details of the proposed model and approach are given in the attached document.

The method can subsequently be used to resolve the effects of maternal and offspring genotype on other developmental outcomes where it is expected parental characteristics and behavior influence the phenotypes of their children.

Variables

Exposure variables: 1. Genome wide genetic relatedness of mothers and offspring derived from identity by state indexed by genome-wide SNP data in mothers and children (see Yang et al., 2011).

Outcome variables: a) Birthweight and gestational age; b) Length at birth and height at 7 years. If the method works, we hope to extend the approach to embrace the environmental effect of genetic differences in maternal psychopathology on offspring outcome (not included in current variable request).

Confounding variables: Maternal age at parturition; Maternal and paternal smoking in pregnancy; parity; maternal BMI.

Date proposal received: 
Monday, 10 June, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Thursday, 20 June, 2013
Keywords: 
GWAS, Methods
Primary keyword: 

B2029 - Early Life Course Influences on Cognitive and Social Development - 20/06/2013

B number: 
B2029
Principal applicant name: 
Prof Marcus Munafo (University of Bristol, UK)
Co-applicants: 
Prof Chris Jarrold (Univeristy of Bristol, UK), Dr Jon Heron (Univeristy of Bristol, UK), Prof Ian Penton-Voak (University of Bristol, UK), Dr Nic Timpson (University of Bristol, UK), Prof George Davey Smith (University of Bristol, UK)
Title of project: 
Early Life Course Influences on Cognitive and Social Development.
Proposal summary: 

This proposal will address the need to better understand the interplay between behavioural and biological mechanisms in human development. It will make substantial contributions to our theoretical understanding of social and cognitive development, social behaviour, and their impact on health and behaviour in childhood, adolescence and early adulthood, integrating recent developments in epigenetics. It will develop the empirical knowledge base in these areas, in order to support the development of novel interventions, and create an international hub linked to existing major research groupings.

Intrapersonal, interpersonal and environmental influences (such as family environment, early adversity, and socioeconomic position) at different stages of the life course are critical to the development of behaviour. These influences need to be understood in order to develop and optimise interventions to improve health and wellbeing. However, knowledge of the behavioural and psychological mechanisms of behavioural control, their development through infancy, adolescence and early adulthood, and their relationship with social behaviour, health and wellbeing, remain poorly integrated, and are rarely (if ever) investigated within a single data set. We propose a cohesive programme of research intended to provide a comprehensive understanding of the relationship between cognition, social behaviour, and impulsivity and risk taking. This will be allied to a life course perspective, to understand the role of social and environmental influences at every stage of development into early adulthood.

The Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) forms the core resource on which this proposal is structured, utilising the wide range of phenotypic and environmental measures available, in addition to biological samples, genetic and epigenetic information and linkage to health and administrative records. This proposal is a collaborative project across the Universities of Bath, Bristol, Cardiff and Exeter, and will be supported by a wider network of national and international collaborators. It will be structured into three main workstreams, corresponding to our three main aims.

Aim 1: Understand the cognitive precursors (e.g., attentional and perceptual processes) of social behaviour, and health and wellbeing.

Aim 2: Understand the developmental pathways, trajectories and mechanisms associated with social behaviour (in particular sexual behaviour and aggressive behaviour).

Aim 3: Understand social, cognitive and environmental influences on impulsivity and high-risk behaviours, and subsequent health and wellbeing.

Workstream 1 (Social and Cognitive Development): This work will focus on the cognitive precursors of social behaviour, and health and wellbeing. There is growing interest in the extent to which domain-general processes, particularly attentional and perceptual processes, play a role in the development of social cognition and theory of mind. In addition, social compliance, particularly in children, may depend on individuals' ability to adopt, maintain, and execute appropriate goals. As a consequence, executive control functions, including working memory, constrain the manifestation of social behaviour, including the impact of social context, parenting and imitation. However, a central problem that has limited progress in this area is the poor specification of executive control, particularly in children. Until recently, working definitions of the construct have relied on a loose collection of putative executive functions. Structural equation modelling has since provided frameworks for organizing these functions, with a focus on updating, inhibition, and shifting, but these still lack a clear theoretical basis. We will therefore examine the development of executive control in children using a principled approach that sets these candidate functions in a theoretical context. This follows directly from two claims: 1) executive function represents the individual's ability to maintain task goals (updating) and to use these to prevent them from acting inappropriately in response to external stimuli (inhibition), and 2) executive control has a temporal aspect that is not independent of previous experience (shifting). We have the expertise to employ precise measures of these functions and, crucially, manipulate them orthogonally to properly test their interplay. Armed with this suite of novel but theoretically-motivated tasks, the relationship between executive control, measures of attention/perception, measures of social context and parenting, and social behaviour will be investigated. We will explore the relationship of executive function in early life and later trajectories of social and cognitive development, social behaviour, and impulsivity and high-risk behaviour. This will be done in a new longitudinal study across three time points over three years. We will also explore atypical groups based on measures of autism spectrum disorder and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder, the developmental trajectories of these traits over time in ALSPAC, and use targeted recall studies of ALSPAC participants who score at the extreme of measures of executive function to investigate cognitive mechanisms in more detail, using both behavioural and fMRI methods.

Workstream 2 (Social Behaviour): This work will examine the developmental pathways, trajectories and psychological mechanisms associated with outcomes in two aspects of social behaviour that have significant societal impacts: sexual behaviour and aggressive behaviour. Life history theory provides a meta-theory for the coherent study of sociosexual and aggressive behaviour at functional, ontogenetic and mechanistic levels. It proposes that timing of important events across the lifespan, and the strategies employed to achieve such goals, are determined by flexible mechanisms that function to increase reproductive success in response to environmental conditions. Human behavioural ecologists have successfully applied this theoretical approach to societally-important issues such age of first reproduction, family size, and parental investment as a function of factors such as socio-economic status and childhood social experiences, and researchers in other disciplines have investigated the neural, endocrinological and psychological mechanisms underlying such behaviour. We will integrate work across these levels of explanation (function, ontogeny, and mechanism), with a particular focus on the development of emotional processing strategies, which play an important role in sexual and aggressive behaviour. Our underlying theory is that biases in emotional processing often reflect adaptive calibration of socio-cognitive mechanisms to the current environment. For example, links between hostile childhood environments and later aggressive behaviour are well established, and may be functional: when exposed to chronically hostile environments in development, aggression may be an adaptive, rather than a maladaptive, strategy in many cases. We will use the ALSPAC cohort to identify emotion processing strategies that mediate the relationships between childhood environments and social outcomes in adolescence and young adulthood. This will allow us to examine trajectory and development of social behaviours, investigating the role of genetic, epigenetic and social/environmental factors (including physical trauma such as head injury) on development. We will use these analyses to design targeted recall studies in the ALSPAC cohort, to investigate underlying psychological mechanisms using both behavioural and fMRI methods.

Workstream 3 (Health and Wellbeing): This work will examine the relationship between social and cognitive development, social behaviour and health behaviour in adolescence and early adulthood. Psychological models of health behaviour have traditionally focused on explicit decisions arising from cognitive appraisal processes. More recently, dual-process models have emerged which integrate evidence that automatic, impulsive processes also play an important (and perhaps dominant) role. Critically, a constellation of high-risk behaviours (e.g., aggressive behaviour, sexual behaviour, substance use) frequently co-occur, and many adolescents engage in these behaviours at levels harmful to health and wellbeing. It is therefore logical to focus on determinants of these multiple risk behaviours, as this may provide single targets for intervention with the potential for broad impact. Current dual-process models argue that interacting, neural systems control decision making, with an impulsive system focused on immediate consequences and a reflective system focused on future prospects. The reflective system governs the impulsive system; however, there are individual differences in the extent to which this is the case, and this is related to executive function. Therefore, factors which influence cognitive and social development in childhood may in turn influence impulsive and high-risk behaviours in adolescence and early adulthood, both directly (via individual differences in executive function) and indirectly (via exposure to peer groups and other environmental risks). We will explore the relationship between cognitive and social development in early life, and subsequent impulsive and high-risk behaviour in adolescence and early adulthood. We will identify the impact of environmental exposures at multiple time points (e.g., tobacco exposure in utero, in childhood in the home, in adolescence in the home and via peer groups) on subsequent impulsive and high-risk behaviours, and explore the mechanistic relationships between these variables using targeted recall methods to enable more intensive characterisation of relevant constructs, epigenetic markers of exposure, and Mendelian randomisation where possible.

Date proposal received: 
Friday, 7 June, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Thursday, 20 June, 2013
Keywords: 
Cognitive Function, Development
Primary keyword: 

B2028 - Analyses of Disparity in Energy intake Metabolism and Adiposity ADEMA A genome-wide association study - 20/06/2013

B number: 
B2028
Principal applicant name: 
Miss kimberley Burrows (Univeristy of Bristol, UK)
Co-applicants: 
Nic Timpson (Univeristy of Bristol, UK)
Title of project: 
Analyses of Disparity in Energy intake, Metabolism and Adiposity (ADEMA): A genome-wide association study.
Proposal summary: 

Aims

We aim to phenotypically refine measures of adiposity and metabolism to encapture a number of individuals that may potentially be described as metabolically healthy obese or metabolically unhealthy non obese and to then explore the potential common genetic variants that are specifically associated with these disparate profiles in ALSPAC Children. We are interested in further analysing other cohorts (TWINS UK) for similarities in these disparities. We also aim to assess replication of our GWAS and to perform a Meta analysis to improve power of results.

Date proposal received: 
Wednesday, 5 June, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Thursday, 20 June, 2013
Keywords: 
Obesiy, Obesity
Primary keyword: 

B2026 - An exploration of picky eating behaviour in ALSPAC - 06/06/2013

B number: 
B2026
Principal applicant name: 
Dr Pauline Emmett (University of Bristol, UK)
Co-applicants: 
Dr Linda Hollen (Univeristy of Bristol, UK), Prof Yaov Ben-Schlomo (Univeristy of Bristol, UK)
Title of project: 
An exploration of picky eating behaviour in ALSPAC.
Proposal summary: 

AIMS:

Is the presence of parent-reported "choosy" or "difficult to feed" behavior in children associated with GI symptoms (gastroenteritis, diarrhoea, vomiting, stomach ache and stool type)?

Is the presence of parent-reported "choosy" or "difficult to feed" behavior in children associated with alterations to either parent or child quality of life?

Is the presence of parent-reported "choosy" or "difficult to feed" behaviour in children associated with differences in the child's dietary intake at 1.5, 3.5 and 10 years or later food preference (e.g. large intakes of milk/dairy foods or sweet foods)?

Is early life dietary intake/ timing of weaning or complementary foods (from Infant FFQs at 6 & 15 months of age) associated with eating behaviors (choosiness or difficulty feeding)?

Is early life dietary intake/ timing of weaning or complementary foods (from Infant FFQs at 6 & 15 months of age) associated with reports of child GI symptoms (gastroenteritis, diarrhoea, vomiting, stomach ache and stool type)?

Is early life dietary intake/ timing of weaning or complementary foods (from Infant FFQs at 6 & 15 months of age) associated with differences in the child's dietary intake at 1.5, 3.5 and 10 years or later food preference (e.g. large intakes of milk/dairy foods or sweet foods)?

Is maternal dietary intake during pregnancy associated with eating behaviors (choosiness or difficulty feeding)?

Is maternal dietary intake during pregnancy associated with reports of child GI symptoms (gastroenteritis, diarrhoea, vomiting, stomach ache and stool type)?

Is maternal dietary intake during pregnancy associated with differences in the child's dietary intake at 1.5, 3.5 and 10 years or later food preference (large intakes of milk/dairy foods or sweet foods)?

Date proposal received: 
Tuesday, 4 June, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Thursday, 6 June, 2013
Keywords: 
Diet, Eating disorders
Primary keyword: 

B2025 - Weak instruments in a semi-parametric framework can lead to weak identification - 06/06/2013

B number: 
B2025
Principal applicant name: 
Stephen Burgess (University of Cambridge, UK)
Co-applicants: 
Dr Raquel Granell (Univeristy of Bristol, UK), Prof Jonathan Sterne (University of Bristol, UK)
Title of project: 
Weak instruments in a semi-parametric framework can lead to weak identification.
Proposal summary: 

Aim: To investigate the performance of semi-parametric methods for instrumental variable estimation (specificially the generalized method of moments, GMM, and structural mean models, SMM) with weak instruments.

Hypothesis: The use of weak instruments in a semi-parametric framework may lead to weak identification (that is, the optimization criterion for determining the value of the parameter estimates may be satisfied or nearly satisfied at multiple values of the parameters).

Methods: The performance of these estimators will be considered using simulated data as well as data from the ALSPAC study on the causal association of body mass index on the probability of early menarche using genetic variants associated with body mass index.

Exposure variable: Body mass index (measured at age 7.5).

Outcome variable: Early menarche (before 12 years). This variable has already been derived by RG.

Date proposal received: 
Friday, 31 May, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Thursday, 6 June, 2013
Keywords: 
Primary keyword: 

B2024 - Genes Environment and Mediating Risk Pathways Understanding the aetiology of Alcohol Use Disorders - 06/06/2013

B number: 
B2024
Principal applicant name: 
Shareefa Dalvie (University of Cape Town, ROW)
Co-applicants: 
Dr Danielle Dick (Virginia Commonwealth University, USA), Prof Raj Ramesar (Not used 0, Not used 0), Prof Dan Stein (Not used 0, Not used 0), Prof Glyn Lewis (University College London, UK), Mr Andrew Crawford (Not used 0, Not used 0), Dr Jon Heron (University of Bristol, UK), Prof Matt Hickman (University of Bristol, UK), Prof Kenneth Kendler (Not used 0, Not used 0)
Title of project: 
Genes, Environment and Mediating Risk Pathways: Understanding the aetiology of Alcohol Use Disorders.
Proposal summary: 

There is evidence that both particular genes (heritability as high as 60%) and particular environments contribute to vulnerability to subsequent alcohol abuse and dependence [Mcgue, 1999; Enoch and Goldman, 2001; Lesch 2005]. However, there is relatively little data on gene-environment interactions in the aetiology of alcohol use disorders (AUDs) [van der Zwaluw and Engels, 2009]. Further, little is known about the role of internalising behaviour in mediating the relationship between genes, environments and subsequent AUDs.

The Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) provide a unique opportunity to try and determine the relationship between genes and environments in AUDs, through the mediation of internalising behaviour. First, ALSPAC includes data on genetic variants and on adverse environments (e.g. stressful life events (SLEs)). Second, ALSPAC includes comprehensive data on internalising behaviour experienced during childhood.

Heavy alcohol use is positively associated with the experience of environmental stressors such as job, health-related, social and legal stress [Dawson et al., 2005]. In turn, the behavioural response to stress is mediated by corticotrophin-releasing factor (CRF) [Arborelius et al., 1999; Binder and Nemeroff, 2010]. Studies involving animal models have shown that polymorphisms within the CRF receptor gene (CRHR1), together with the experience of environmental stress factors, result in greater alcohol consumption [Sillaber et al., 2001; Hansson et al., 2006]. Similarly, in humans, polymorphisms in the CRHR1 gene interact with negative life events to predict heavy alcohol use [Treutlein et al., 2006; Blomeyer et al., 2008]. Besides the CRHR1 gene, the CRF pathway consists of the following genes: POMC, UCN, CRH, CRHR2, UCN3 and UCN2 [PharmGkB. Date accessed: 13 March 2013]. These genes are relatively unexplored in terms of vulnerability to alcohol dependence.

It is often argued that AUDs are characterised by externalising behaviour [Kumpulainen, 2000; Englund et al., 2008]. Findings regarding the link between behavioural inhibition/internalizing symptoms and AUDs are less emphasised in the literature, although a few studies have shown that internalising symptoms, such as anxiety and depression, are associated with alcohol use [Loeber et al., 1999; Fite et al., 2006]. CRF has also been shown to play a role in internalising behaviours; indeed polymorphisms within CRHR1 have shown to have a significant association with anxious temperament and have an influence on the metabolic activity of local brain regions in rhesus macaques [Rogers et al., 2012]. There has been little work, however, on the relationship between variants in the CRF pathway and internalising behaviour in humans.

Methodology

1) Select variants from the genes involved in the CRF pathway based on a systematic review of the literature.

2) Include genotype in the models as a (a) quasi-continuous, (b) time-invariant predictor of latent continuous and/or (c) categorical variable

i. Test for association with the extended alcohol use phenotype measured by the 10-item Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT) administered at 16 years of age or later [Heron et al., 2012].

3) Identify mediating pathways by which genes confer susceptibility

i. Hypothesized that CRF genes will be likely to confer risk via internalising behaviour evident in early childhood. Internalising behaviour will be measured by the parent-rated, emotional subscale of the Strength and Difficulties Questionnaire (SDQ), administered at 7 years of age or older as described by Araya et al. (2008) and Evans et al. (2008).

ii. Hypothesized that CRF genes will be related directly to alcohol use and risk pathways in adolescence that emerge concomitantly with AU and not involved in pathways with origins in childhood

4) Test GxE with environments previously shown to moderate genetic risk. Environmental factors such as SLEs will be measured using Section D of the parent-rated questionnaire "My Son's/Daughter's Health and Behaviour-42 months". SLEs will also be assessed by the "Life Events" questionnaire completed by the Mother of the "child" at 18, 30, 42 and 57 months as well as 5, 6 and 8 years and completed by the "child" at 16 years of age.

i. Regressing outcome variables onto (a) genotype (b) an environment, and (3) and interaction term reflecting the product of genotype and environment.

Date proposal received: 
Friday, 31 May, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Thursday, 6 June, 2013
Keywords: 
Alcohol, Genes
Primary keyword: 

B2023 - Cross country variation of Child growth performance by mothers characteristics and household socio-economic status - 06/06/2013

B number: 
B2023
Principal applicant name: 
Dr Ravi Rannan-Eliya (Institute of Health Policy, ROW)
Co-applicants: 
Jayalal Chandrasiri (Not used 0, Not used 0), Nilmini Wijemanne (Not used 0, Not used 0), Chamara Anuranga (Not used 0, Not used 0)
Title of project: 
Cross country variation of Child growth performance by mothers' characteristics and household socio-economic status.
Proposal summary: 

Aim: The WHO Multi-centre Growth Reference Study(MGRS) used data of six national sites to propose a child growth standard that describes the optimal growth patterns. Our previous research has identified number of factors as influencing optimal child growth in different populations around the world. The aim of this study is to combine data on children and parents from numerous countries from all regions of the world to examine cross-country variation in child growth relative to the MGRS growth standard charts.

The information contained in the "ALSPAC data documentation" indicates that children of the 90's survey has child and mother physical measurements and other relevant variables for our research. Therefore, we are interested in to include survey data of Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) for our sample.

Hypothesis : The socio-economic status , income, ethnicity, child birth characteristics, parental size and health detremines the optimal child growth.

The exposure variables of the study are

- Sampling details - sample weights, household weights

- Birth year, month, date

- Child ID [to allow us to identify repeat observations on the same child]

Birth circumstances

- Birth date

- Gestational age (weeks)

- Birth weight (g)

- Birth length (cm)

- Sex

- Whether single or multiple birth

- Birth order

- Ethnicity [this is not mentioned in the paper, but if available, so we can distinguish between caucasian and other groups]

Parental characteristics

- Age (years)

- Paternal height (cm)

- Maternal height (cm)

- Smoking status (Yes/No)

- Drug abuse (Yes/No)

- Alcohol consumption

- Educational level

- Years of education

- Employment

- Household and environment (needed to estimate socioeconomic status and impute per capita income)

Confounding variables are :

- Nutrition data

- Whether breast fed at time of measurement

- Whether exclusively breast fed at time of measurement

- Length of exclusive breast feeding

The outcome variables of the study are :

-- Date of anthropometric measurement

- Height/length (cm)

- Whether measurement was Recumbent length/standing height

- Body weight (g) .

Date proposal received: 
Thursday, 30 May, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Thursday, 6 June, 2013
Keywords: 
Alcohol, Education, Growth, Smoking
Primary keyword: 

B2022 - The Genetics of Infant Bronchiolitis in the Pathway to Asthma - 06/06/2013

B number: 
B2022
Principal applicant name: 
Emma Larkin (Vanderbilt University Medical Centre, USA)
Co-applicants: 
Prof John Henderson (Not used 0, Not used 0)
Title of project: 
The Genetics of Infant Bronchiolitis in the Pathway to Asthma.
Proposal summary: 

We hypothesize that the enhanced asthma risk following infant RSV exposure is due to two non-mutually exclusive factors: (1) a genetic predisposition common to both diseases and (2) infant RSV infection acting as a causal agent in asthma development. We will use genetic epidemiological methods to determine the extent to which infant RSV infection plays a causal role in the development of asthma or if it merely serves as a marker of shared genetic risk with asthma. This study leverages multiple existing US based cohorts, including the Infant Susceptibility to Pulmonary Infections and Asthma Following RSV Exposure (INSPIRE; Hartert, PI), the Tennessee Children's Respiratory Initiative (TCRI; Hartert, PI), RSV Bronchiolitis in Early Life (RBEL I and II; Castro, PI), and Childhood Origins of Asthma (COAST; Lemanske, PI). This revised grant improves power for genetic studies and builds infrastructure to understand infant RSV infection and its respiratory sequelae by collaborating with longitudinal cohorts that have well-characterized respiratory infections in infants during the first year of life followed through to early childhood wheezing/asthma outcomes. We will first identify the genes associated with response to RSV infection (Aim 1) and then determine the genetic bases of shared RSV infection and recurrent wheezing/ early asthma susceptibility (Aim 2). This would be the first GWAS of RSV infection in infancy and its respiratory sequelae of recurrent wheezing/asthma.

We would like to use existing GWAS data from ALSPAC for replication of our primary findings.

Specific Aim 1a:

1a) We will identify the genetic determinants of the severity of RSV infection in the first year of life among ~2000 infants from multiple US cohorts with confirmed RSV exposure or infection. For GWAS genotyping, we will use the Illumina HumanCore + Exome BeadChip in European-Americans (EAs) and the Illumina Omni 2.5M + Exome BeadChip in African-Americans (AAs) and Hispanic-Americans (HAs).

Specific Aim 1b) We will perform a pathway analysis of genome-wide data that addresses limitations of SNP analyses to identify genes or pathways that are associated with severity of RSV infection during infancy.

Specific Aim 2: We will identify the specific genetic variants that lead to the shared genetic risk of severity of RSV infection and early childhood recurrent wheezing/asthma.

This proposed collaboration will address an important gap in understanding how severe infant RSV infection increases the risk of recurrent wheezing/asthma. The results will provide novel insights into both the timing and mechanism for developing primary prevention strategies.

Based on two papers from the ALSPAC cohort, both involving collaborator John Henderson, there are 284 infants hospitalized with infant bronchiolitis. The ALSPAC cohort has well characterized wheezing and asthma outcomes. Using this existing data, we would like to replicate our SNPs predicting severe infant bronchiolitis, measured as hospitalization (y/n). We would also like to replicate SNPs that examine risk of wheezing/asthma after hospitalization for bronchiolitis. We propose in Specific Aim 1b and in exploratory analyses for asthma outcomes to conduct pathway analyses. We would like to use existing ALSPAC data to conduct a replication of our pathway analysis. This will entail the analysis of existing GWAS data.

If the sample size for hospitalization with bronchiolitis followed to to wheezing / asthma outcomes includes enough children with DNA available, we would like to consider using your genetics lab for replication of 480 SNPS from Aim 1 and 480 SNPs from Aim 2 using cases a set of matched controls. At this point we do not know whether our primary SNPs will exist in your data set. We also do not know whether there will be enough children from the case group with DNA.

Date proposal received: 
Tuesday, 28 May, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Thursday, 6 June, 2013
Keywords: 
Asthma
Primary keyword: 

B2021 - Using linked health and administrative data to reduce bias in observational research - 06/06/2013

B number: 
B2021
Principal applicant name: 
Mrs Rosie Cornish (University of Bristol, UK)
Co-applicants: 
John Macleod (University of Bristol, UK), Prof Kate Tilling (University of Bristol, UK)
Title of project: 
Using linked health and administrative data to reduce bias in observational research.
Proposal summary: 

Aim

The overarching aim is to examine how linked health and administrative data can be used to avoid bias in prospective cohort studies, using the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) as an exemplar. This aim will be addressed using simulation studies and by examining three questions of epidemiological importance:

a) Is breastfeeding associated with IQ at age 15? Linkage to education data (GCSE results) will be used to examine the missingness mechanism for IQ, and may be used in imputation of the missing values.

b) Is smoking in the early teenage years associated with educational attainment at age 16? Data on smoking from the young people's GP records will be used to examine missing data patterns in self-reported smoking and to investigate misclassification. GCSE results from linked educational data will be used as the outcome in this analysis.

c) Is maternal smoking in pregnancy associated with depression at age 17? As for smoking, linkage to relevant data held within GP records will be used to look at the objectives below in relation to this outcome.

Objectives

1. To develop methods for using linked health and administrative data to examine patterns of missing data and model missingness mechanisms in longitudinal studies such as ALSPAC, focussing in particular on outcomes and exposures that are likely to be MNAR (missing not at random).

2. To incorporate linked health and administrative data in multiple imputation models to explore biases introduced by missing data in exposures or outcomes in observational studies.

3. To compare data in ALSPAC to equivalent outcomes recorded in linked electronic primary care records (GP data) to investigate misclassification in the self-reported outcomes and, in particular, to identify whether these are subject to differential or non-differential misclassification.

4. To develop methods to use both linked data and self-reported data to minimise the impact of measurement error on analyses in observational studies.

As one of the exemplars involves obtaining data on depression from electronic patient records, a further objective is:

5. To devise and modify existing algorithms for defining depression using electronic GP data, using information contained within Read codes and to use this information to estimate the prevalence of depression among ALSPAC teenagers.

Exposure variables

Breastfeeding, smoking in pregnancy, early teenage smoking (at 12/13 years) - from ALSPAC and linked GP records

Outcome variables

IQ at 15 years, GCSE results (linked data), depression at 17 years - from ALSPAC and linked GP records

Confounding variables

Maternal and paternal education, family occupational social class, housing tenure, family adversity index (and the individual components), family income, maternal and paternal smoking, maternal & paternal pre and post-natal depression, parental conflict, marital status (parents), maternal age at birth, maternal alcohol intake in pregnancy, family composition.

Date proposal received: 
Tuesday, 28 May, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Thursday, 6 June, 2013
Keywords: 
Alcohol, Breast Feeding, Depression, Education, Smoking
Primary keyword: 

B2019 - Investigating the impact of maternal iodine and sodium status throughout pregnancy on outcome of the offspring - 06/06/2013

B number: 
B2019
Principal applicant name: 
Prof George Davey Smith (University of Bristol, UK)
Co-applicants: 
Dr Alix Groom (University of Bristol, UK), Dr Susan Ring (University of Bristol, UK)
Title of project: 
Investigating the impact of maternal iodine and sodium status throughout pregnancy on outcome of the offspring.
Proposal summary: 

AIMS

This study aims to investigate the affect of iodine and sodium status throughout pregnancy on outcome of the offspring.

HYPOTHESIS

Iodine is required for the production of thyroid hormones which have a role in brain and neurological development during gestation and early life. The mother is an important source of thyroid hormones to the developing fetus particularly before the fetus is able to produce its own. Mild to moderate maternal iodine deficiency has been associated with a reduction in IQ and psychomotor development in the offspring and has also been linked to the development of ADHD. Excessively high or low intake of sodium throughout pregnancy can have adverse effects on both the mother and the offspring and therefore maternal sodium levels will also be analysed in the urine. Measuring iodine and sodium levels in maternal urine throughout pregnancy and analysing against offspring outcome will identify the most influential period of development on which iodine and sodium have an affect.

EXPOSURE VARIABLE

All maternal urine samples from each trimester

OUTCOME VARIABLE

Iodine, sodium and creatinine levels. Creatinine will be analysed to correct for urine volume.

CONFOUNDING VARIABLES

maternal age at delivery, mother's parenting score, HOME score, family adversity index, life-event score, intakes of omega-3 fatty acids and iron

child factors

sex, birthweight, preterm birth, breastfeeding, and ethnic origin

maternal factors

smoking status, alcohol intake, parity, maternal depression since birth and use of fish-oil supplements during pregnancy

markers of socioeconomic status

maternal and paternal education, housing status and crowding

Date proposal received: 
Thursday, 23 May, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Thursday, 6 June, 2013
Keywords: 
Birth Outcomes, Diet, Mental Health, Pregnancy
Primary keyword: 

B2020 - Bio-social enhancements to the Millennium Cohort Study - 24/05/2013

B number: 
B2020
Principal applicant name: 
Prof Lucinda Platt (University of London, UK)
Co-applicants: 
Title of project: 
Bio-social enhancements to the Millennium Cohort Study.
Proposal summary: 

1. Collection of height, weight and body fat.

As well as reflecting the substantive comments from earlier discussions this paper in setting out the main details of the enhancement, this paper outlines pre-and post- March 2015 costs, in order to enable a profiling of spend. In the original proposal all staffing costs were censored at March 2015, given that was the limit of the spend period. However, this was not in expectation that all the work would be completed by that point, but a reflection of the limits of the funding source. It was anticipated that the extension of staffing costs would be found by some other means (e.g. through the core CLS funding, or through a separate funding proposal).

This paper instead builds in staffing costs that are appropriate for the enhancement even when they extend beyond March 2015. However, for consistency with the earlier paper, the post-March 2015 totals are also shown excluding these post-March 2015 staffing costs.

Key elements of enhancement

The continued collection of height and weight will allow a robust understanding of contemporary children's physical and developmental trajectories over time across the UK and how this physical development relates to family context, child and family practices and behaviours, neighbourhood and environment, and other aspects of children's development, and wellbeing.

Height will be measured by trained and accredited interviewers using a height measure that is appropriate for teenagers and using best practice protocols. As usual we will check what the most up-to-date protocols are and ensure that the MCS team and the fieldwork agency are fully versed in them. This will also maximise comparability with measurement carried out for example on the National Child Measurement Programme (NCMP) using the same protocols.

Weight and body fat will be measured by trained interviewers using Tanita scales that capture both weight and body fat percentage.

Following full briefing, interviewers will practice the height, weight and body fat measurement on young people of the relevant age, as part of their training, and will be require to be accredited in height measurement before they can implement it in the field.

All measures will be captured in CAPI, alongside a record of any specific circumstances relating to the measurement that might have affected its accuracy. These data will be returned to CLS by the contracted fieldwork agency within four months of the conclusion of fieldwork.

The existing data manager team will check and clean the data, create appropriate derived variables and prepare it for release within six months of receipt from the fieldwork agency.

The data manager team will be able to provide value added to the physical measurements data by linking the height weight and body fat measurements to updated growth charts constructed according to standard methodology but based on contemporary growth patterns, using the National Child Measurement Programme (NCMP) data. We are currently in discussion with the Department of Health about access to measures collected in the NCMP but not currently deposited (specifically ethnicity). Growth charts based on national NCMP data and incorporating ethnic differences would be a more appropriate reference population than currently used growth charts. We are thus seeking to develop such contemporary growth charts employing the methodology used in the 1990 charts but based on a contemporary, nationally representative and multi-ethnic population.

2. Collection of saliva for DNA extraction.

This element represents a collaboration between Dr Sue Ring of Bristol University and the MCS team at CLS. The collection of saliva samples would enable a genetic record of both the child and their parents to be preserved. This would provide enormous potential for both genetic and epigenetic research on a young, nationally representative cohort and enhance the multidisciplinary, bio-social potential of the study both now and in the future.

There is already great interest in the potential of a DNA resource derived from MCS. Given the wealth of existing data collected in MCS from both survey questions and direct measures and assessments, there is huge potential to understand associations between genetic make-up and a whole series of outcomes relating to e.g. learning, dyslexia, obesity and overweight, behaviour and mental health.

The large sample size and national coverage of MCS are particularly beneficial: as well as offering detailed family-level, individual and contextual information, MCS enables analysis to explore the contexts of varying environmental exposures as well as genetic dispositions. In particular, the value of the oversampling of those from more disadvantaged socio-economic backgrounds is regarded as being particularly valuable in

There is clearly great potential from the collection of triads of samples (both biological parents and the cohort child) for the investigation of epigenetic processes. It is increasingly recognised that non-target tissue sources of DNA can be informative about the relationship between epigenetic variation and phenotype.

It is clear that, while attention would need to be given to ensuring the resource was both known about and used (utilising both the Access Committee and Closer in doing this), there would be a number of scientists ready to build proposals to exploit the data once they became available. For example, researchers who have already identified genetic data from MCS as offering enormous potential include, Silvia Parracchini who has expressed interest in utilising MCS to enhance her existing studies of genetic variants associated with dyslexia; and Caroline Relton, who is working on epigenetics using non-target tissues, and is developing an approach which places DNA methylation changes as in intermediate phenotype on a pathway between exposure and outcome, including such outcomes as obesity, and cognitive and behavioural outcomes.

With ensuing genome-wide genotyping, an MCS DNA back can be expected to provide an extremely valuable resource for analysis that is likely to be very well used. The success of the NCDS resource is testament to the volume of research that such a resource can invite, and we would expect certain of the key features of MCS, such as its demographic coverage, to enhance its utility.

In terms of the planned provision to result from this enhancement; the key element is the collection of saliva, from both the cohort member and from their co-resident natural parents, where applicable.

Such collection was successfully piloted at age 11, but we would expect that the change in age and the context of different instruments would require some additional pretesting. We would then implement in pilot, dress-rehearsal and main stage. We would also need to ensure proper briefing of interviewers and the available of appropriate subsidiary materials such as clear question and answer guidance.

The second key element is the preparation and storage of the samples, which would be undertaken in Bristol using a similar approach and protocols as were developed for the Age 11 pilot in relation to delivering the samples from the field, conduction quantification and extraction. Clearly in the main stage, this would take place on a much larger scale and would require adequate systems being fully in place for that

The third key element is the genotyping of the samples. This would also be undertaken by Bristol. While indicative support has been indicated for this element of the proposal, it would need to be aligned with the ESRC biosocial strategy which is expected later in 2013. Indicative costs for the genotyping would also need to cover staff to support accessing the samples and ongoing storage and maintenance.

Access to the sample would also need to be ensured through adequate resourcing of the Access Committee to support their existing work. The existing access arrangements for NCDS would clearly be suitable for accessing the genotyped data from MCS; and the learning that is being developed in relation to 'accidental' findings would also need to be built into procedures for MCS, as well as informing the consent process itself.

Substantive proposals for analysis would be subject to separate applications to relevant funding organisations but would be enabled and facilitated by this support.

3. Collection of physical activity data.

There is a great deal of interest in understand the patterns of physical activity, including sedentary behaviour, and how these relate to young people's growth patterns, including overweight, as well as to other aspects of their wellbeing and to their long-term outcomes and other.Self-report measures need to be extensive and detail to capture the range of patterns of physical activity and inactivity, and without a complex battery of questions can only provide limited insight into young people's activity patterns. Objective measures can be more convincingly obtained through direct measurement using accelerometers. Direct measures of physical activity can give a much better insight into patterns of moderate and intense activity, and into sedentary behaviour than report measures.

Accelerometers has been successfully collected not only in health-related surveys but also in MCS itself at sweep 4 (the age 7 sweep). Best practice in collection is also improving. At MCS4, 7-day wear was recommended. However, this was not only hard to achieve for many of the children, it is becoming accepted that two days of complete wear may be sufficient to understand activity patterns. Collection of data can contribute to ongoing debates about optimal forms and intensities of activity in relation to health and wellbeing. Combined with the planned age 14 diary, physical activity measures themselves can be enhanced by understanding the context of the activity as well as periods of non-wear.

There is substantial appetite within the scientific and policy community for utilising direct measures of physical activity and for repeating the measurement of physical activity at the critical age of age 14.

Thus the key element of this proposal is to implement collection of two full days of physical activity monitoring of MCS cohort members, using age appropriate and high quality accelerometers.

The proposed collection of physical activity using accelerometers would involve the young people being asked to consent to wear the accelerometer for 2 days, days that coincided with the days they completed a time diary. Parental consent would also be sought prior to the young person being approached.

There are two models that could be implemented. At the age 7 survey, those families that consented to wear the accelerometer were then posted from an external unit the accelerometer, and that unit, based at the Institute of Child Health (ICH) also dealt with follow-up, sending feedback and reminders to return. The ICH unit was responsible for charging the accelerometers, setting them in advance of posting them out, and downloading the data from them on return, before sending them out to the next batch of respondents. The first model would follow this approach but rather than an external unit, the fieldwork agency would themselves log the consenting cases, and send out the equipment, with a pre-paid envelope for return, download data on return and reset the devices for the next batch of consenting participants. On this model we would anticipate a 90 per cent consent rate and that up to 70 per cent of cohort families would return the accelerometers resulting in a gradual depletion of the stock.

A variant on this model (Model 1a) would be to integrate the enhancement fully into the MCS6 fieldwork. Interviewers would supply the accelerometers at the point of the survey having guided the cohort members on use, setting and administration. The interviewers would then be responsible for ensuring the devises were charged and set, and would need to be thoroughly briefed on this. They could then leave the accelerometers to be returned by post, as with the original version, and the fieldwork agency would need to ensure that reminders were sent in a timely fashion to maximise return. This would be more intuitive approach, in that distributing and implementing while in the household would accord with the general practice of the survey and enable questions to be dealt with on the spot, as well, potentially as encouraging wear. However, there would be an additional layer of complexity introduced as a result of the fact that the interviewers would need to be supplied on an ongoing basis with sufficient numbers to carry out the fieldwork, while the accelerometers were being returned, and data downloaded from the respondents. To ensure a smooth process would probably require a larger number of accelerometers than the total used at MCS4. The consent and return rates overall would be expected to be similar, though we could anticipate that a larger number would actually wear the devices prior to return increasing the overall data collection, and that thus the level of productive cases would be higher.

A second model would involve the interviewers not only administering but also collecting the accelerometers after the week containing the two 'wear days' had passed, and while they were in the area. This would increase fieldwork costs, possibly substantially and would require the interviewers themselves to be trained in downloading the data before resetting for subsequent participants or that they returned them in batches to the central office; but would increase the number of returned accelerometers, and thus reduce the total number needed / lost. It would obviate the need for requests for return, except in those cases where the interviewer was unable to follow up.

There are clearly advantages and costs associated with each of the approaches, and the tendering fieldwork agencies will propose and cost what they think is the optimal model. At present we judge this is likely to be closest to Model 1a, and we have estimated costs on that basis. For this we have assumed around 4000 accelerometers will be needed, rather than the 3000+ used in the age 7 survey, since at Age 11 the total stock was almost totally depleted by the end and left no room for flexibility in distribution.

As well as collecting the data, since these are complex data, to provide suitable outputs for users there would be the need to construct age-appropriate derived measures of activity and sedentary behaviour from the data, as was achieved for MCS4. This would be the key data deposit from this element of the data collection, though the 'raw' data would also be deposited for those who wished to work with it directly.

The derived variables would be constructed by an experienced data manager working with a statistician to produce the derived variables useable by the wider research community.

Date proposal received: 
Friday, 24 May, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Friday, 24 May, 2013
Keywords: 
Primary keyword: 

B2018 - Peer Mediating and Moderating Effects Upon Parent-Child Relationships School Connectedness and Adolescent Substance Use - 24/05/2013

B number: 
B2018
Principal applicant name: 
Ms Rhiannon Yapp (University of Cardiff, UK)
Co-applicants: 
Dr Marianne van den Bree (University of Cardiff, UK), Dr Luke Sloan (University of Cardiff, UK), Prof Laurence Moore (University of Cardiff, UK)
Title of project: 
Peer Mediating and Moderating Effects Upon Parent-Child Relationships, School Connectedness and Adolescent Substance Use.
Proposal summary: 

This study aims to:

a) Independently assess the predictability of early social experiences [family, school and peers] upon the initiation and progression of substance use in late adolescence, and examine if they vary in importance according to different substances [alcohol, cannabis, smoking] and/or level of use [experimental, occasional, regular].

b) Examine the extent to which family relations and/or school experiences in childhood and substance use in late adolescence are mediated by peer's substance use in early adolescence.

c) Create two models of substance use: one to test whether peer use is moderating the effect of parent-child relationships upon substance use in late adolescence; and the other to test whether peer use is moderating the effect of school connectedness on substance use in late adolescence.

Date proposal received: 
Wednesday, 22 May, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Friday, 24 May, 2013
Keywords: 
Alcohol, Antisocial Behaviour, Behavioural Problems, Education, Smoking
Primary keyword: 

B2017 - Foetal programming of childhood asthma - 24/05/2013

B number: 
B2017
Principal applicant name: 
Dr Emily Petherick (Bradford Institute for Health Research, UK)
Co-applicants: 
Prof Kate Tilling (University of Bristol, UK), Dr Laura Howe (University of Bristol, UK), Prof John Henderson (University of Bristol, UK), Dr Raquel Granell (University of Bristol, UK), Prof John Wright (Bradford Institute for Health Research, UK), Prof Debbie A Lawlor (University of Bristol, UK)
Title of project: 
Foetal programming of childhood asthma.
Proposal summary: 

Aim:To determine if the critical periods of growth and asthma/wheeze phenotypes identified in the BiB cohort be replicated in other populations. (ii) To determine if there are links between growth in early life and asthma.

Hypotheses:That the relationships observed between asthma/wheeze and growth in the BiB and other cohorts will be replicated in the ALSPAC cohort.

Exposure variables: Asthma/Wheeze symptoms and diagnoses (examined as latent class phenotypes)

Confounding variables: maternal/paternal history of asthma, maternal/paternal height, maternal/paternal smoking, maternal BMI, gestational length, mode of birth.

Outcome variable: Trajectories of growth (length and weight).

Statistical analyses: Firstly Latent class analyses will be undertaken to determine discrete phenotypes of asthma to be established that are specific to the ALSPAC cohort. Latent class analysis (LCA) allows classification of individuals into groups based on conditional probabilities as within each class individuals will have a similar pattern of response. As these models work with probabilities rather than absolute values this allows children to potentially be fractional members of all classes and use probability to assign class membership. The first stage of LCA will be to determine the optimal number of classes to the data by evaluating the best fitting model using multiple indices of model fit including Akaikes Information Criterion, Bayesian Information Criterion, entropy and likelihood ratio test using bootstrapping as well as assessing the face validity and meaningfulness of the resultant classes. The second stage of the modelling process, to determine the relationship between co-variates including ethnicity, gender and the latent class groups of phenotypes, will be conducted using multinomial logistic regression adjusted for probability weighted class assignment. For the regression analysis we will include co-variates that are significant at the 5% level in the univariate analysis. Any variables with greater than 3% missing data will be tested at the end of the modelling procedure using imputation to determine the resultant sensitivity of results to missingness.

Separate models of growth, for height and weight, will then be created for each latent class grouping. Growth models will be undertaken using heirachical linear spline models using knot points for growth identified in previous studies undertaken using ALSPAC data.In line with previous ALSPAC growth analysis the source of measurement (height and weight) will be included as a covariate in the models. Appropriate adjustment for other known confounders such as gestational length, maternal height and childs gender.

Date proposal received: 
Tuesday, 21 May, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Friday, 24 May, 2013
Keywords: 
Asthma, Smoking
Primary keyword: 

B2016 - Children of Alcoholic parents Cognition Behaviour Mental Health and Alcohol Use Trajectories - 24/05/2013

B number: 
B2016
Principal applicant name: 
Dr Marianne van den Bree (University of Cardiff, UK)
Co-applicants: 
Dr Jon Heron (University of Bristol, UK), Prof Matt Hickman (University of Bristol, UK), Prof David Linden (University of Cardiff, UK)
Title of project: 
Children of Alcoholic parents: Cognition, Behaviour, Mental Health and Alcohol Use Trajectories.
Proposal summary: 

Background:

Alcohol use disorders (AUDs) are highly prevalent, affecting 3.6% of the global population (Rehm, Mathers & Popova et al., 2009). AUDs impact on the physical (liver disease, brain damage and injuries) as well as psychological well-being of the affected individual. Furthermore, AUDs have a considerable impact on the affected individual's family, larger social circle and society as a whole. There is a considerable genetic component to AUDs with heritability estimates of ~50-60% (van den Bree, Johnson eta, 1998). As many as 15% of children report living with an alcoholic parent (US data reported by Grant, 2000) while 43% of Children of Alcoholic parents (CoAs) will themselves develop an AUD in adulthood (Grant, 2000). It is therefore important to understand the developmental pathways of alcohol use/ misuse in this high-risk population.

Children of Alcoholics:

CoAs have been consistently reported to have poorer academic achievement than children of non-alcoholic parents (non-CoAs) (e.g. Puttler, Zucker, Fitzgerald and Bingham, 1998; Diaz, Gual & Garcia et al., 2008). However, the evidence regarding impaired performance on cognitive assessments (e.g. WASI/WISC) is less clear, with some studies reporting worse full-scale, verbal and performance IQ in CoAs (e.g. Diaz, Gual & Garcia et al., 2008) (Yang & Kramer, 2012), while others report no difference (e.g. Kultur, Unal & Ozusta, 2006). There have been no studies based on a large scale longitudinal population-based sample.

One of the most consistently reported differences between children with and without alcoholic parents is increased problem behaviours. These include externalising and antisocial behaviours, as well as internalising and hyperactive behaviours. Externalising and antisocial behaviours have been reported in children with alcoholic parents from a very young age, even including infancy (Edwards, Eiden, Colder & Leonard, 2006). These behaviours then appear to persist throughout development into adolescence (Hussong, Huang & Curran et al., 2010). Internalising behaviours, such as negative affect and anxiety are less reliable reported. There have been some positive results in early childhood (Haugland, 2003), but the majority of studies have reported that internalising behaviours become more common in children with alcoholic parents during adolescence (Hussong, Cai & Curran et al., 2008). This increase during adolescence may be related to the onset of the child's own alcohol use.

There is some evidence that suggests that maternal and paternal alcohol use can have differential effects on offspring (Connell & Goodman, 2002) and that offspring gender can influence the impact of parental alcohol use (Eisenberg, Haugen & Spinrad et al., 2010). Social factors, such as parental-offspring relationships and peers, can also influence the effect of parental alcohol use on the offspring (Stice & Barrera, 1995).

Current proposed study:

There is currently an absence of large population-based longitudinal studies which examine the associations between parental alcohol problem use and offspring behaviour. While there have been a number of small-scale longitudinal studies using high-risk populations (e.g. Chassin, Rogosch & Barrera, 1991; Eiden, Edwards, Colder & Leonard, 2009) and some larger population-based comparative studies (e.g. Yang & Kramer, 2012), there have been no studies which have the breadth of information available in the ALSPAC data set.

We propose to use already collected ALSPAC data to address the important issue of parental alcoholism. We will compare with and without alcoholic parents in the areas of cognition, behaviour, psychiatric problems and substance use. Additional analysis will be used to see if offspring's own alcohol use contributes to any differences we find and to see if parent or offspring gender and offspring's peer group also have an impact.

Aims:

1. Conduct comparisons between CoAs and nonCoAs at an early age (i.e. age 8), before alcohol use initiation, on relevant indices reported in the literature, including behaviour, academic performance and cognition, social factors (family and peer relations), and mental health problems.

Sub aims: examine any evidence for gender-specific effects (i.e., parent or offspring)

2. Conduct similar comparisons at later ages (i.e. 8-15), when participants are increasingly starting to use alcohol. Here comparisons will also include alcohol and other substance use at different ages.

3. Examine the longitudinal alcohol use/ misuse trajectories for CoAs and non-CoAs and to what extent specific covariates (see above) play a role in any differences.

Analyses:

Analysis 1 and 2. ANOVAs, chi-square tests, or regressions where CoA (yes/ no) is the dependent variable.

Analysis 3. Trajectories already exist. Each individual in the sample has been assigned a probability of belonging to different categories based on repeated measures of alcohol use collected at different ages. We will plot the trajectories for the two groups. We will conduct regression-based analysis to determine whether CoAs are more likely to belong to certain alcohol trajectories compared to non-CoAs, before and after adjustment for covariates.

References:

Chassin, L, Rogosch, F, & Barrera, M. (1991). Substance use and symptomatology among adolescent children of alcoholics. Journal of abnormal psychology 100(4), 449-463.

Connell, A.M., & Goodman, S.H (2002). The Association Between Psychopathology in Fathers Versus Mothers and Children's Internalizing and Externalizing Behaviour Problems: A Meta-Analysis. Psychological Bulletin, 128 (5), 746-773.

Diaz, R., Gual, A., Garcia, M., Arnau, J., Pascual, F., Canuelo, B., & Garbayo, I. (2008). Children of alcoholics in Spain: From risk to pathology. Social psychiatry and psychiatric epidemiology, 43(1), 1-10.

Edwards, E. P., Eiden, R. D., Colder, C., & Leonard, K. E. (2006). The Development of Aggression in 18 to 48 Month Old Children of Alcoholic Parents. Journal of abnormal child psychology, 34(3), 409-423.

Eiden, R. D., Colder, C., Edwards, E. P., & Leonard, K. E. (2009). A longitudinal study of social competence among children of alcoholic and nonalcoholic parents: Role of parental psychopathology, parental warmth, and self-regulation. Psychology of addictive behaviors, 23(1), 36-46.

Grant, B.F. (2000). Estimates of US Children Exposed to Alcohol Abuse and Dependence in the Family. American Journal of Public Health, 90 (1), 112-115.

Haugland, B. S. M. (2003). Paternal alcohol abuse: Relationship between child adjustment, parental characteristics, and family functioning. Child psychiatry and human development 34(2), 127-146.

Heron, J., Macleod, J., Munafo, M. R., Melotti, R., Lewis, G., Tilling, K., & Hickman, M. (2012). Patterns of alcohol use in early adolescence predict problem use at age 16. Alcohol and alcoholism, 47(2), 169-177.

Hussong, A. M., Cai, L., Curran, P. J., Flora, D. B., Chassin, L. A., & Zucker, R. A. (2008). Disaggregating the distal, proximal, and time-varying effects of parent alcoholism on children's internalizing symptoms. Journal of abnormal child psychology 36(3), 335-346.

Hussong, A. M., Huang, W., Curran, P. J., Chassin, L., & Zucker, R. A. (2010). Parent alcoholism impacts the severity and timing of children's externalizing symptoms. Journal of abnormal child psychology, 38(3), 367-380.

Kultur, S. E. C., Unal, M. F., & Ozusta, S. (2006). Psychopathology in children of alcoholic fathers. Turk Psikiyatri Dergisi, 17(1), 3-11.

Puttler, L. I., Zucker, R. A., Fitzgerald, H. E., & Bingham, C. R. (1998). Behavioral outcomes among children of alcoholics during the early and middle childhood years: Familial subtype variations. Alcoholism: clinical and experimental research, 22(9), 1962-1972.

Rehm, J., Mathers, C., Popova, S., Thavorncharoensap, M., Teerawattananon,Y., & Patra, J. (2009). Global burden of disease and injury and economic cost attributable to alcohol use and alcohol-use disorders. Lancet, 373, 2223-2233.

Stice, E., & Barrera, M. (1995). A longitudinal examination of the reciprocal relations between perceived parenting and adolescents' substance use and externalizing behaviours. Developmental psychology, 31(2), 322-334.

van den Bree, M., Johnson, E. O., Neale, M. C., & Pickens, R. W. (1998). Genetic and environmental influences on drug use and abuse/dependence in male and female twins. Drug and alcohol dependence, 52(3), 231-241.

Yang, S., & Kramer, M. S. (2012). Paternal alcohol consumption, family transition and child development in a former Soviet country. International Journal of Epidemiology, 41(4), 1086-1096.

Date proposal received: 
Tuesday, 21 May, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Friday, 24 May, 2013
Keywords: 
ADHD, Alcohol, Behavioural Problems, Depression, Education, Speech & Language, Cognition, Eating disorders
Primary keyword: 

B2015 - Intrauterine stress effects on the intergenerational transmission of risk for adverse childhood experiences - 24/05/2013

B number: 
B2015
Principal applicant name: 
Mr Dominic T Plant (King's College London, UK)
Co-applicants: 
Prof Carmine Pariante (King's College London, UK), Nadia Micali (King's College London, UK)
Title of project: 
Intrauterine stress effects on the intergenerational transmission of risk for adverse childhood experiences.
Proposal summary: 

Summary:

The proposed project will investigate the impact of foetal exposure to maternal depression on the intergenerational transmission of adverse childhood experiences (ACE) and psychopathology in a prospective longitudinal cohort study: the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC). The overarching goal of this project is to elucidate key psychosocial pathways that underpin the intergenerational transmission of risk for childhood adversity (ACE, psychopathology, inflammation). The identification of such pathways would be of great clinical utility: targeted interventions early on could provide preventative strategies to limit these transgenerational cycles.

Background:

Childhood maltreatment is a major public health issue. Currently, over 50,000 children in England are on the child protection register (Department for Education, 2011). The National Society for Prevention of Cruelty to Children (NSPCC) identifies childhood maltreatment as any exposure to physical abuse, sexual abuse, physical neglect, emotional neglect or domestic violence. For research purposes, the term "adverse childhood experiences" (ACE), "victimisation" or "trauma" has been applied in a more generic manner to refer to such forms of maltreatment, as well as to other negative childhood experiences such as peer bullying and exposure to major traumatic life events. For the purpose of this proposal we refer to ACE as a means to encapsulate all such types of detrimental experiences.

ACE have repeatedly been shown to be associated with severe psychiatric illness in adulthood and adolescence, such as depression, psychosis and personality disorders (Fisher et al. 2012; McLaughlin et al. 2012; Nanni et al. 2012; Reed et al. 2013) as well as adulthood inflammation (Danese et al 2007, 2008). There is also a robust relationship between offspring exposure to maternal prenatal stress in utero and later psychopathology (O'Connor et al. 2002; Pawlby et al. 2009; Hay et al. 2010; Rice et al. 2010). Moreover, in our recent work we have demonstrated a strong association between an offspring's exposure to intrauterine stress (maternal depression) and their increased likelihood to experience ACE in middle childhood (Pawlby et al. 2011). Similar associations have since been reported in other samples, specifically the ALSPAC cohort, whereby offspring exposed to maternal depression/anxiety in utero were found to be at an increased risk for peer victimisation in middle childhood (Lereya et al. 2012). These data suggest two important points: i) exposure to depression in utero and ACE are likely part of the same putative pathway that links early life insults with an increased risk for persistent psychiatric disorders, and ii) exposure to maternal prenatal stress is a key risk factor for ACE.

ACE tend to be correlated across generations. Indeed, in both US and UK samples - namely the ALSPAC cohort - a mother's history of maltreatment in her own childhood predicts an increased probability for her offspring to be exposed to maltreatment (Sidebotham et al. 2006; Berlin et al. 2011). In our own sample - the South London Child Development Study (Sharp et al. 1995) - we have recently demonstrated the synergistic effects of maternal prenatal stress on the intergenerational transmission of ACE and psychopathology (Plant et al. 2013). Our findings indicate that maternal history of ACE and depression during pregnancy are key risk factors that interact, whereby the occurrence of both insults results in the greatest risk for offspring being exposed to childhood maltreatment and subsequent adolescent disruptive behaviour disorders. This data suggests that prenatal stress is a key risk factor for the intergenerational transmission of ACE and its sequelae. Whilst investigations into the intergenerational transmission of maltreatment have been conducted previously in the ALSPAC sample (see Sidebotham et al. 2001, 2006), to our knowledge, there has been no direct test of the impact of offspring exposure to maternal stress in utero on the transgenerational transmission of ACE and psychopathology. We thus propose to test this putative pathway for the intergenerational transmission of ACE and psychopathology in the ALSPAC sample, which will allow for a more robust and dynamic investigation of this model and its intricacies that were not so permitted in our existing analyses given our smaller size (n = 125).

Date proposal received: 
Friday, 10 May, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Friday, 24 May, 2013
Keywords: 
Antisocial Behaviour, Pregnancy
Primary keyword: 

B2013 - Understanding the wider context of the development of basic skills - 10/05/2013

B number: 
B2013
Principal applicant name: 
Prof Clare Wood (University of Coventry, UK)
Co-applicants: 
Prof Julie Dockrell (University of London, UK), Prof Karen Littleton (The Open University, UK), Prof Vince Connelly (Oxford Brookes University, UK)
Title of project: 
Understanding the wider context of the development of basic skills.
Proposal summary: 

We are about to apply for an ESRC Research Centre Grant, which will fund a cross-institutional (international) research centre for three years, with Coventry University acting as a 'hub' for collaborative working across the other centre sites. We would like to include ALSPAC as one of the national sites in this networked research centre, and cost into the project the price of one data analyst, to be employed by and based at ALSPAC for the three years that the Centre is funded (if the application is successful). This would enable us to identify research questions and specific hypotheses as a team and then ask the ALSPAC statistian to create and clean the data file and conduct the analysis agreed by the research team, with the statistian's input into this process too. This individual would be named as a coauthor on all outputs which draw on his/her work (i.e. all the activity associated with this specific work package within the centre). Broadly, we are interested in modelling the developmental relationships between key variables of interest, with a view to understanding some of the wider factors which appear to impact on children's school attainment, and their basic skills (reading, writing and mathematical abilities) in particular.

Date proposal received: 
Wednesday, 8 May, 2013
Date proposal approved: 
Friday, 10 May, 2013
Keywords: 
Education, Hearing, Parenting, Speech & Language, Vision, Cognition
Primary keyword: 

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