Proposal summaries

These are research proposals that have been approved by the ALSPAC exec. The titles include a B number which identifies the proposal and the date on which the proposals received ALSPAC exec approval.

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B3317 - Visual Impairment in Psychosis Cause Consequence or Biomarker - 25/08/2020

B number: 
B3317
Principal applicant name: 
Claudia Cooper | University College London (United Kingdom)
Co-applicants: 
Claudia Cooper, Joseph Hayes, Karoline Kuchenbaecker, Gemma Lewis, Natalie Shoham
Title of project: 
Visual Impairment in Psychosis: Cause, Consequence, or Biomarker?
Proposal summary: 

Eyesight Problems and Psychotic Illnesses: What’s the Link?
Psychotic illnesses affect just under 1% of people in England. Symptoms include hearing voices and experiencing confusing and distressing thoughts. These often begin in early adulthood, and can have a major effect on people’s lives.
People with psychotic illnesses seem to have more eyesight problems. We are not sure why, but it might be because:
• Possibility 1: Some people with psychotic illnesses find it harder to look after their health including their eyes, for example by going to the optician’s.
• Possibility 2: The same brain changes cause eyesight problems and psychotic illnesses.
• Possibility 3: Eyesight problems increase a person’s chances of having a psychotic illnesses.
I plan to look at which of these best explains the link between eyesight problems and psychosis. If people with psychosis have less eye care (possibility 1), we need to improve this. If possibility 2 is correct, eye research might hold the key to understanding more about the brain changes that cause psychosis. Or, if eyesight problems lead to psychosis, then improving eye health could be a way of preventing or reducing psychosis.
I will start by reviewing past research, to make sure I base my work on the most up-to-date information. I will then carry out research using two large datasets: UK Biobank and the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC).
UK Biobank has information on over half a million 40 to 69-year-olds including questionnaires, eyesight tests and genetic tests.
ALSPAC has information on 14,500 UK families. The children have been followed up since before birth and will be 25.
I will look at UK Biobank and ALSPAC because older and younger people are most at risk of developing psychosis. In these datasets, I will see if people with short-sight genes have more psychotic illnesses. If so, this would be evidence that poor eyesight can lead to psychosis. Genes are present before birth, so I will know that they came before any psychotic illness began. I will also find out if genes for psychotic illnesses are linked with eyesight problems. This would suggest the reverse: that psychosis leads to poor eyesight.
I will also use a third, Israeli dataset. All Israeli 17-year-olds have health checks to decide if they can join the armed forces. I will use this data to find out if teenagers with eyesight problems are more likely to have a psychotic illness over the following years. If so, I will see what level of eyesight problems are associated with developing psychosis. This will allow me to test the theory that perfect eyesight and complete blindness both protect against psychosis, with moderate eyesight problems carrying the highest risk.
Throughout this research, I will chair a group every 6 months. It will include people with psychosis, people with eyesight problems, carers, charity members and doctors. We will discuss study findings and think about how to use them to improve the experiences of people with eyesight problems and psychosis. This will include plans to publicise findings, influence healthcare and plan new studies.
When the research is finished, I will tell healthcare professionals and researchers about the results at meetings and in journals. I will also write about them in publications read by people with mental health and eyesight problems. I will offer to present findings to public groups, through links with the Royal National Institute for the Blind (RNIB) and a forum of mental health service users.
People with eyesight problems and mental health service users helped to write this summary.

Impact of research: 
I will aim to publish findings in peer-reviewed journals. An implementation group will meet six-monthly, with particular emphasis on pathways to impact. They will advise on opportunities to disseminate findings via healthcare professionals, charities, and patient and carer groups, and develop plans to influence clinical practice, for example by responding to NICE and other relevant consultations. Visual impairment can be debilitating and is preventable in around 50% of cases. If we demonstrate evidence that psychosis increase risk of visual impairment (hypothesis 1), this would represent a major unmet need in people with psychosis; a health inequality that could and ought to be addressed. This may be different between younger people, who are most likely to experience a first episode of ‘non-organic’ psychosis associated with neurodevelopment, and older people, who are at higher risk of having psychotic symptoms associated with neurodegeneration. Older people are also more likely to have non-myopia causes of visual impairment than younger people. Studying the ophthalmic changes that lead to visual deterioration in psychosis could provide insights into the neurological processes underlying some psychotic illnesses, potentially informing the development of new treatments. It has been proposed, based on this hypothesis, that retinal nerve fibre layer thickness could be used as a diagnostic test for schizophrenia. If we demonstrate evidence supporting hypothesis 3, offering eye tests to people at high risk of or in the early stages of a psychotic illness could be a rational intervention to test. Training in visual processing has also been suggested as a possible therapeutic intervention for people with psychotic illnesses and visual impairment based on the hypothesis that visual impairment may contribute to its development.
Date proposal received: 
Wednesday, 12 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Tuesday, 25 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Mental health - Psychology, Psychiatry, Cognition, Mental health

B3604 - Positive and adverse childhood experiences and cardiovascular disease risk - 25/08/2020

B number: 
B3604
Principal applicant name: 
Rebecca Lacey | UCL (UK)
Co-applicants: 
Dr Naomi Priest
Title of project: 
Positive and adverse childhood experiences and cardiovascular disease risk
Proposal summary: 

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are a significant public health concern and are a leading cause of mortality, representing 31% of all global deaths in 2017. These diseases often have their origins in childhood. Ample evidence suggests that exposure to childhood adversity, such as experiences of violence, parent imprisonment, household mental illness or substance use, has harmful effects on cardiovascular and other non-communicable diseases. Experiencing two or more adversities is associated with higher risk of cardiovascular disease in Europe and North America, respectively, corresponding to US$150 and US$164 billion in associated costs. Whilst there is evidence that adverse childhood experiences are associated with higher cardiovascular risk, whether socioeconomic inequalities in cardiovascular risk might be explained by childhood adversities. Understanding the extent to which adverse experiences in childhood could potentially explain socioeconomic inequities in CVD risk would help to inform the targeting of resources.

Further, the milieu of the family environment includes not just adverse experiences, however, but also positive experiences, which have been understudied. Positive experiences do not simply reflect the absence of risk factors, but instead are independent attributes or assets that enhance health and resilience over time. For example, the absence of abuse in the household does not necessary imply optimal parenting. The Health Outcomes from Positive Experiences (HOPE) is a complimentary framework to childhood adversity that organises positive childhood experiences into four broad categories: Being in nurturing, supportive relationships; Living, developing, playing, and learning in safe, stable, protective, and equitable environments; Having opportunities for constructive social engagement and to develop a sense of connectedness; and Learning social and emotional competencies.

Emerging evidence suggests that positive childhood experiences – variably defined – are associated with better adult cardiovascular health. These studies are suggestive that positive experiences in childhood also have relevance for cardiovascular health. To fully understand children’s experiences in the early years and how environments can be optimised to promote cardiovascular health in later life, however, we need to capture both adverse and positive experiences in childhood; otherwise, we just look at half the picture. For example, no previous studies have examined whether the effect of positive experiences was evident over and above that of adverse experiences in childhood. While adverse and positive experiences are not the inverse of one another, they are negatively correlated. Do positive experiences actually matter for cardiovascular health, or are they just a proxy indicator for the absence of adverse experiences? If they do matter, can they help to promote resilience in the presence of childhood adversity; that is, good health despite the presence of adversity?

Impact of research: 
Findings have important practical implications, by informing the extent to which both positive and adverse experiences need to be considered if we are to promote cardiovascular health through childhood. Better understanding of modifiable resilience factors could provide targets for interventions to improve outcomes for children who may face adversity in the future or have experienced past adversities; offer important insights into the mechanisms underlying the relationships between childhood adversity and outcomes, and improve the tailoring of interventions to those who can most benefit from them. At a broader level, this study can contribute to shifting narratives in the childhood adversity field, away from a deficit-only and overly deterministic perspective.
Date proposal received: 
Friday, 21 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Tuesday, 25 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Epidemiology, Behaviour - e.g. antisocial behaviour, risk behaviour, etc., Cardiovascular risk, Statistical methods, Biomarkers - e.g. cotinine, fatty acids, haemoglobin, etc., Cardiovascular, Childhood - childcare, childhood adversity

B3606 - Genetic determinants of neonatal hyperbilirubinemia - 25/08/2020

B number: 
B3606
Principal applicant name: 
Connie Bezzina | Amsterdam UMC (The Netherlands)
Co-applicants: 
Najim Lahrouchi
Title of project: 
Genetic determinants of neonatal hyperbilirubinemia
Proposal summary: 

Neonatal jaundice is a yellowish discoloration of the eyes and skin in a newborn baby as a consequence of high bilirubin levels. While jaundice in most newborn is normal, a subset of patients with elevated bilirubin levels may develop excess sleepiness or poor feeding, whereas patients with excessive bilirubin levels are at risk for severe brain damage. In this project we aim to identify genetic risk factors for the development of high bilirubin levels in the newborn. This information can aid in risk prediction and the onset of early treatment for hyperbilirubinemia in the newborn.

Impact of research: 
If an association is found between genetic variants and neonatal hyperbilirubinemia, this finding would (1) provide an inroad for future risk prediction of hyperbilirubinemia and (2) has the potential to uncover novel biological pathways that play a role in hyperbilirubinemia.
Date proposal received: 
Tuesday, 25 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Tuesday, 25 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Genetics, Hyperbilirubinemia, GWAS, Genetic epidemiology, Genetics, Genomics, Genome wide association study

B3601 - The genetic basis of acne vulgaris - 02/09/2020

B number: 
B3601
Principal applicant name: 
Josine Min | MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit
Co-applicants: 
Dr. Jake Saklatvala, Professor Michael Simpson, Professor Catherine Smith
Title of project: 
The genetic basis of acne vulgaris
Proposal summary: 
Impact of research: 
Date proposal received: 
Wednesday, 19 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Tuesday, 25 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Genetic epidemiology (including association studies and mendelian randomisation), Skin diseases - acne vulgaris, GWAS, Dermatology

B3602 - Linking observed mental health data with record linkage in ALSPAC - 21/08/2020

B number: 
B3602
Principal applicant name: 
Alex Kwong | IEU
Co-applicants: 
Dr Rebecca Pearson, Dr Dheeraj Rai, Dr Julian Walker, Andy Boyd, Ms Holy Fraser
Title of project: 
Linking observed mental health data with record linkage in ALSPAC
Proposal summary: 

The purpose of this project is to provide additional data for the project B3550 (antidepressant use and mental health) and collect new data as part of ALSPAC's mental health response to the COVID-19 pandemic. This data will allow further examinination for the ongoing mental health work by ASPAC and can be used alongside record linkage data to examine patterns of mental health before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. We are interested in examining if observed data from COVID-19 and the annual Questionnaire match patterns taken from health record data (i.e., are people who report poorer mental health accessing services). If these patterns do not match, it is important to determine why not and how people with poorer mental health are managing if not by accessing services. This will provide insights into alternative forms of treatment for poorer mental health in the pandemic. We have three main objectives. The first is to further describe patterns of mental health by building upon our earlier work using COVID 19 mental health data. The second is to link the observed mental health data with the health record linkage and examine outcomes from the COVID-19 pandemic. The third is to provide additional data for B3550.

Impact of research: 
Change how mental health is treated in response to COVID-19. We have already influenced policy so this will be an extension of this work.
Date proposal received: 
Wednesday, 19 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Wednesday, 19 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Mental health - Psychology, Psychiatry, Cognition, Mental health, Statistical methods, Methods - e.g. cross cohort analysis, data mining, mendelian randomisation, etc.

B3599 - G1 Substance Use questions for the next sweep - 25/08/2020

B number: 
B3599
Principal applicant name: 
Jon Heron | UOB (United Kingdom)
Co-applicants: 
Title of project: 
G1 Substance Use questions for the next sweep
Proposal summary: 

We would like to find some additional data collection for the G1 cohort

These data would facilitate the continued longitudinal modelling of G1 substance use into adulthood
and be particularly useful in the event we are successful in the MRC grant we submitted in May 2020.

Impact of research: 
Date proposal received: 
Tuesday, 18 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Tuesday, 18 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Mental health - Psychology, Psychiatry, Cognition, Addiction - e.g. alcohol, illicit drugs, smoking, gambling, etc.

B3598 - Psychosocial mechanisms of persistent pain Expression of Interest - 28/08/2020

B number: 
B3598
Principal applicant name: 
Edmund Keogh | University of Bath (United Kingdom)
Co-applicants: 
Rachael Gooderman-Hill, Christopher Eccleston
Title of project: 
Psychosocial mechanisms of persistent pain: Expression of Interest
Proposal summary: 

The remit of the Advanced Pain Discovery Platform funding call is to better understand the mechanisms associated with pain. Our Expression of Interest is focused on psychosocial mechanisms of pain, and as part of this we wish to see how these impact on individuals across the lifespan. We wish to explore potential psychosocial correlates of pain, and build on work already conducted by members of our consortium on pain. Details of this project will be updated in due course.

Impact of research: 
To better understand the way in which psychosocial factors impact on the development of pain
Date proposal received: 
Monday, 17 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Tuesday, 18 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Social Science, Pain, Statistical methods, Ageing, Cognition - cognitive function, Social science

B3597 - Resilience and Susceptibility to Chronic Pain in ALSPAC - 28/08/2020

B number: 
B3597
Principal applicant name: 
Anthony Pickering | University of Bristol (United Kingdom)
Co-applicants: 
Dr Jim Dunham, Dr Jon Brooks, Dr Tom Lancaster, Dr. Laura Corbin, Dr. Laura Howe, Prof. Christopher Eccleston, Prof. Rachael Gooberman-Hill, Prof. Emma Robinson, Prof. Ian Penton-Voak
Title of project: 
Resilience and Susceptibility to Chronic Pain in ALSPAC
Proposal summary: 

Pain which lasts for more than 3 months is termed chronic or persistent pain. It often occurs in the absence of obvious injury. It can be very difficult to treat. The UK is home to several large databases that contain information about subjects’ life history of pain and their genetic “make-up”. We plan to use the largest of these (UK Biobank) to help identify the genes that are related to the presence of a chronic pain condition (e.g. pain of duration >3 months) and the related symptoms experienced by sufferers e.g. low mood, poor sleep, lack of motivation, (pain) anxiety or pain depression. By gaining confidence that these genetic markers are related to the presence of a chronic pain condition, we will then use this information to recruit two small (each <200) groups of ALSPAC subjects who may or may not already have a pain condition. The beauty of this approach, is that by identifying the genes that make people susceptible to developing a pain condition, we will see how this interacts with health factors e.g. weight, blood pressure, and events that shape a person’s psychology e.g. adverse life events such as bereavement, to try to provide a means for people to modify their risk, or identify people for whom early intervention might be most beneficial following an injury – to hopefully avoid them going on to suffer life-long pain.

To achieve this goal, we would ask those subjects to undergo a series of pain tests (which of themselves cause only temporary discomfort) and undergo an MRI scan of their brain and spinal cord.

To better characterise pain present in the ALSPAC cohort, we propose to add pain-specific questionnaires (and tasks) to the upcoming age 30 clinics and questionnaires, which would target all participants. These questionnaires/tasks would explore the incidence of pain in the cohort, which will provide a more complete picture than is currently available. By adding information to this time point, we will gain insight to the cohort and to which genetic and biological factors can influence the development of a chronic pain condition. The availability of this window, where the majority of the cohort are still (hopefully) pain-free, will provide a baseline from which future studies will be able to reflect on the factors that ultimately led some participants to develop a chronic pain condition.

Impact of research: 
1. Defining a polygenic risk score for chronic pain, if validated, will aid in the future delivery of personalised patient care. 2. The PRS with MR PheWAS can suggest causality and directionality enabling better understanding of the complex relationships between pain and psychosocial influences. 3. The recall arm will determine if high and low risk individuals, identified via the PRS, have altered pain processing in the absence of chronic pain. This will informed understanding on the development of chronic pain and could well aid in delivery of personalised patient care. 4. Inclusion of a set of standard pain (and pain related) questionnaires within the ALSPAC cohort will create a resource to the pain community of international importance.
Date proposal received: 
Friday, 14 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Tuesday, 18 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Genetic epidemiology (including association studies and mendelian randomisation), Pain, As described above: PRS and MR-PheWAS QST, CPM and Imaging New Questionnaires, Genetic epidemiology

B3594 - Large-Scale Genomic Analysis of Aging-Related Cognitive Change Prior to Dementia Onset - 14/08/2020

B number: 
B3594
Principal applicant name: 
Alex Kwong | UoB IEU
Co-applicants: 
Professor Nic Timpson, Dr Gail Davies, Professor Ian Deary
Title of project: 
Large-Scale Genomic Analysis of Aging-Related Cognitive Change Prior to Dementia Onset
Proposal summary: 

This project will provide the most comprehensive interrogation of the genetics of aging-related cognitive changes during prodromal, so-called “silent,” periods of ADRD progression. Identifying the genetic risk factors and mediating biological mechanisms underlying progression to Alzheimer’s disease and related dementias of aging is crucial to developing interventions to prevent, delay, or otherwise mitigate ADRD disease progression.

Impact of research: 
Greater understanding of the genetics underpinning cognitive decline.
Date proposal received: 
Wednesday, 12 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Friday, 14 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Genetic epidemiology (including association studies and mendelian randomisation), Cognitive impairment, GWAS, Ageing

B3595 - Assessing the contribution of poylgenic risk to pediatric lipid levels and longitudinal trends - 14/08/2020

B number: 
B3595
Principal applicant name: 
Shoa L. Clarke, MD, PhD | Stanford University (United States)
Co-applicants: 
Themistocles Assimes, MD, PhD
Title of project: 
Assessing the contribution of poylgenic risk to pediatric lipid levels and longitudinal trends
Proposal summary: 

Genetic studies have found connections between a person's genes and their cholesterol. These studies have been conducted in adults. Cholesterol is much less variable during childhood. We aim to see if the associations seen in adults also extend to children.

Impact of research: 
This work will lead to a better understanding of the polygenic contributions to complex traits, and it will have important implications for defining the emerging entity of "polygenic familial hypercholesterolemia."
Date proposal received: 
Wednesday, 12 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Friday, 14 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Genetic epidemiology (including association studies and mendelian randomisation), Dyslipidemia and hypercholesterolemia, Statistical methods, Genetic epidemiology

B3596 - Pubertal development and psychobiological health - 14/08/2020

B number: 
B3596
Principal applicant name: 
Samantha Dockray | University College Cork (Ireland)
Co-applicants: 
Yvonne Nolan, Jenny Cooney, Eadaoin Whelan, Eithne Hunt
Title of project: 
Pubertal development and psychobiological health.
Proposal summary: 

During adolescence there are changes in how adolescents experience and regulate their emotions, and this is related, in part by changes in the body related to puberty and development of the neuroendocrine system. These changes can begin at different ages for people, and can also be influenced by the general physical health of the person, as well as their life experience of stress, social relationships and learning opportunities. Physical health influences psychosocial development in several ways, and there is an accumulation of evidence that biomarkers of physical health, including markers of inflammation, cortisol levels, and other indicators of stress, influences when, and how, adolescents develop skills in emotional regulation and stress management. There is a related body of evidence that puberty, inflammation and stress interact to influence emotional experience in childhood and adolescence, and may influence mood, and the risk of mod disorders, for example anxiety and depression. Much of the research on the psychobiological predictors, correlates and consequences of mood and behaviour have been done with adults, and so there is still much to know about if and how adolescent development may be influenced by inflammation, biomarkers of stress and experiences, and further, how these interactions may be influenced by pubertal development.

Impact of research: 
Understanding the interaction of pubertal development, inflammation, and stress during adolescence may provide insight into vulnerabilities to poor psychobiological health and mood disorders, and how these may vary according to the physical health and health behaviours of the person. Determining the associations of pubertal development and physiological indicators of health and inflammation, if any, will provide insight into how biomarkers of stress and inflammation and psychological wellbeing are related. Mapping these associations may provide indications of if and how prevention and intervention programs to support positive psychobiological health across childhood and adolescence.
Date proposal received: 
Thursday, 13 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Friday, 14 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Mental health - Psychology, Psychiatry, Cognition, Speech/language problem, Statistical methods, Biological samples -e.g. blood, cell lines, saliva, etc., Biomarkers - e.g. cotinine, fatty acids, haemoglobin, etc., Sex differences, Sleep, Blood pressure, BMI, Cardiovascular, Hormones - cortisol, IGF, thyroid, Metabolic - metabolism, Psychology - personality, Physical - activity, fitness, function, Puberty

B3589 - The moderating role of genetic propensity in the relationship between depression/anxiety and substance use during Covid-19 era - 11/08/2020

B number: 
B3589
Principal applicant name: 
Jueun Kim | Chungnam National University
Co-applicants: 
Title of project: 
The moderating role of genetic propensity in the relationship between depression/anxiety and substance use during Covid-19 era
Proposal summary: 

Previous studies have reported that addictive behaviors decrease when infectious disease first occurs but increase as the disease continues. It shows that especially among health workers, the addiction problems can get even more serious compared to the period when the infectious disease did not occur. This study wants to examine predictive factors that are associated with addictive behaviors before and after Covid-19.

Impact of research: 
Date proposal received: 
Wednesday, 5 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Tuesday, 11 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Social Science, Addiction - e.g. alcohol, illicit drugs, smoking, gambling, etc.

B3593 - Genetic impact on youth vaping extending known genetic risk factors in smoking to vaping - 11/08/2020

B number: 
B3593
Principal applicant name: 
Meghan Chenoweth | Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, and the University of Toronto (Canada)
Co-applicants: 
Dr. Rachel Tyndale, Dr. Marcus Munafo, Alaa Alsaafin, Ahmed El-Boraie
Title of project: 
Genetic impact on youth vaping: extending known genetic risk factors in smoking to vaping
Proposal summary: 

Adolescents who smoke cigarettes are more likely to start vaping, and the reverse is also true: vaping can lead to smoking. In former smokers, vaping can also increase the risk for relapse back to smoking. While some young people report vaping to help them quit smoking, most continue to smoke resulting in dual use. The high rate of dual use suggests that vaping could prolong smoking and increase harms in young people who would have otherwise quit. Biomarker data show that dual users are exposed to higher levels of harmful chemicals known to cause tobacco-related illnesses compared to those who only smoke.

Genetic variation influences cigarette smoking. People with gene variants that increase the rate at which nicotine is inactivated smoke more cigarettes, have a higher risk for tobacco-related illnesses, and are less likely to quit, compared to people with slow nicotine metabolism. In ALSPAC, we propose to study whether youth smokers with genetically faster nicotine metabolism have a higher risk for becoming a dual user and continuing smoking once they start vaping. In former smokers, we will test whether faster nicotine metabolism increases relapse back to smoking among vapers. As a secondary goal, we will also test whether other genes, for example those that alter the response to nicotine in the brain, also influence the risk for vaping.

The reasons underlying the popularity of vaping and dual use among youth are not well understood, and our work will show whether genetic factors play a role.

Impact of research: 
Our work will provide insight into the genetic contributions to vaping, allowing for the identification of vulnerable sub-groups. Due to the nature of the genes under study, our work will also identify potential mechanisms underlying the high rate of dual use, and thus the persistence of smoking, in youth vapers. Because CYP2A6 variation predicts smoking cessation outcomes and can be used to optimize treatment, our work may also facilitate tailored approaches to quitting vaping.
Date proposal received: 
Monday, 10 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Tuesday, 11 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Genetic epidemiology (including association studies and mendelian randomisation), Addiction - e.g. alcohol, illicit drugs, smoking, gambling, etc., Statistical methods, Genetic epidemiology

B3591 - Exploring the progression of mental illness Identifying predictors of recovery - 11/08/2020

B number: 
B3591
Principal applicant name: 
Robyn Wootton | University of Bristol
Co-applicants: 
George Davey Smith, David Kessler, Marcus Munafo, Andy Skinner, Kate Tilling, Alexandra Havdahl, Anne-Siri Oyen
Title of project: 
Exploring the progression of mental illness: Identifying predictors of recovery
Proposal summary: 

Depression is the leading cause of global disability with over 300 million people suffering world-wide. Estimates suggest that up to two thirds of patients do not recover following their first antidepressant treatment and up to one third do not recover after multiple treatments. Therefore, it is critically important to identify factors that predict recovery and reduce risk of relapse. Current methods in genetic epidemiology focus on predictors of mental illness onset. While this is crucial to prevent new diagnoses, it does little to help individuals already suffering. Therefore, the Recover project aims to extend current genetic epidemiology methods to better understand recovery from depression. The methods developed here will begin with a focus on depression but can also be extended to other mental illnesses. First, we will develop trajectories of depression using continuous longitudinal measures in two critical time points, 1) adolescence and early adulthood and 2) during and post pregnancy. Second, using these trajectories as outcomes we will explore many modifiable predictors of recovery. Third, we will use cutting-edge causal inference techniques to test whether or not these predictors are causal. And finally, we will develop novel technologies to capture fine-grained fluctuations in mood. Taken together, this work will lead to better interventions and inform adjuncts to treatment having real impact for the growing number of individuals suffering from depression.

Impact of research: 
With over 300 million people living with depression globally, it has been called a “mental illness epidemic”. Depression is the leading cause of disability worldwide, resulting in an estimated 800,000 suicides per year globally and 44 million lost years of productive life. Despite increased treatment provision, prevalence of depression has not decreased and up to a third of patients have still not responded after multiple treatments. Depression can bring immense suffering to both the individual afflicted and their family. Not responding to treatment can be both terrifying and frustrating. Given this significant burden that depression poses to both the individual and their families, strategies to promote recovery and prevent relapse are of upmost importance to public health. Therefore, it is critically important for patients that we identify factors that predict recovery and reduce the risk of relapse. Our proposed Recover project would have real impact for individuals with depression, their families and wider society.
Date proposal received: 
Thursday, 6 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Tuesday, 11 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Mental health - Psychology, Psychiatry, Cognition, Mental health, Statistical methods, Genetic epidemiology

B3590 - Early signs and predictors of ADHD A population cohort study - 11/08/2020

B number: 
B3590
Principal applicant name: 
Esther Tobarra-Sanchez | Cardiff University (United Kingdom)
Co-applicants: 
Dr Anita Thapar, Clinical Professor, Child and Adolescent Psychiatry , Kate Langley, Senior Lecturer in Cardiff School of Psychology
Title of project: 
Early signs and predictors of ADHD. A population cohort study.
Proposal summary: 

Attention deficit Hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is a disabling neurodevelopmental disorder that affects 5% of the population. There is emerging evidence that early detection and intervention improves neurodevelopmental disorders outcomes. This knowledge, coupled with clear evidence that the first signs and symptoms of developmental disorders may be evident for many children by 30 months of age, has led to increased early detection efforts. However, it is still uncertain how best to identify the very first signs of these disorders. For example, early speech, motor delay or global developmental delay, birth and neonatal complications may index future neurodevelopmental disorders. Investigations using prospective designs may be especially fruitful because they are less affected by retrospective recall biases.
In this project I propose to utilise data from a large, prospective population-based cohort, ALSPAC. The aim is to test the hypothesis that early developmental difficulties in the first year of life precede ADHD and other neurodevelopmental disorders emergence by ages 7 to 9 years.
This work will represent a step towards earlier detection of ADHD and other neurodevelopmental disorders prior to the onset of behavioural symptoms.

Impact of research: 
The findings of this study may bring more clarity towards a long-held suspicion that early differences underscore the multifaceted nature of ADHD. We aim to identify genetic risk factors of ADHD, as well as precursors and early signs reported in the first 3 years of life among children from general population that later develop ADHD. The findings of this study may have potential implications for the development of approaches to early population screening and intervention programmes. Early predictors of ASD have been broadly researched, but in comparison, this has not been extensively studied in ADHD. We therefore highlight the need of considering the developmental determinants of ADHD, as well as the genetic and environmental factors.
Date proposal received: 
Wednesday, 5 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Friday, 7 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Mental health - Psychology, Psychiatry, Cognition, Developmental disorders - autism, Statistical methods, Genetics

B3587 - Optimizing Adult Mental Health Outcomes in Children with Neurodevelopmental Problems Interplay of Social and Genetic Factors - 05/08/2020

B number: 
B3587
Principal applicant name: 
Stephan Collishaw | Cardiff University (Wales, UK)
Co-applicants: 
Lorna Ushaw, Dr Kate Langley, Dr Jon Heron, Dr Gemma Hammerton
Title of project: 
Optimizing Adult Mental Health Outcomes in Children with Neurodevelopmental Problems: Interplay of Social and Genetic Factors
Proposal summary: 

Previous research has indicated that individuals with ADHD have an increased likelihood of developing mental health problems such as depression, anxiety and antisocial behavior. Despite mental health problems being increased in individuals with ADHD, not all children go on to develop poor mental health outcomes. Research has indicated that resilience is a dynamic process that arises from normal adaptive mechanisms and can be influenced by many factors. However, why some individuals with ADHD show higher levels of resilience and better outcomes compared to others is not yet well understood. One way of defining resilience is better-than-expected long-term mental health outcome than predicted by initial severity of childhood ADHD. Therefore, the current research project will focus on first identifying risk mechanisms which increase the likelihood of individuals with childhood ADHD developing adult mental health problems, and then will aim to identify potentially modifiable protective factors that could be the focus of prevention and intervention programs.

Impact of research: 
Treatment of ADHD typically focuses on alleviation of core symptoms. However, it is also important to consider how best to prevent and treat co-occurring mental health problems such as anxiety and depression. Development of effective preventative intervention however requires a good understanding of likely modifiable risk and protective factors that could be targeted in interventions in children and young people with ADHD. The project has potential to impact in two ways: i) by helping identify those children with ADHD problems who are at highest risk of later mental health problems and who are therefore a priority for early support and preventative intervention; and ii) by identifying potentially modifiable protective factors of relevance in this group that could be a focus for interventions that aim to optimize long-term mental health outcomes. The supervisory team have experience of developing impact work and forging links with educators and other stakeholders. Furthermore, the research team works closely with ADHD support groups, trains mental health practitioners, and also has strong links and experience of working with other stake holders such as schools, education authorities and Welsh Government.
Date proposal received: 
Friday, 31 July, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Wednesday, 5 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Mental health - Psychology, Psychiatry, Cognition, Mental health, Statistical methods, Cohort studies - attrition, bias, participant engagement, ethics, Childhood - childcare, childhood adversity, Development, Parenting, Statistical methods

B3583 - The course of autistic traits in the population from childhood to adolescence and educational attainment - 05/08/2020

B number: 
B3583
Principal applicant name: 
Pieter Hoekstra | University Medical Center Groningen
Co-applicants: 
Anne Smit, Annelies de Bildt, Jorien Vugteveen, Marieke Timmerman
Title of project: 
The course of autistic traits in the population from childhood to adolescence and educational attainment
Proposal summary: 

Children and young people with autism may do less well in school compared to others. This has a negative impact on their future. Even children with mild symptoms may have problems with school or finding a job when they are older. We want to find out how the development of autistic symptoms over time impacts future success in education.

Impact of research: 
Date proposal received: 
Tuesday, 4 August, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Wednesday, 5 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Social Science, Behaviour - e.g. antisocial behaviour, risk behaviour, etc., Computer simulations/modelling/algorithms, Social science

B3582 - Understanding how patterns of glucose levels and variability relate to health exposures and outcomes - 05/08/2020

B number: 
B3582
Principal applicant name: 
Louise Millard | MRC IEU, Bristol Medical School
Co-applicants: 
Ms Ciarrah Barry, Professor Deborah Lawlor
Title of project: 
Understanding how patterns of glucose levels and variability relate to health exposures and outcomes
Proposal summary: 

Epidemiological and clinical studies interested in circulating glucose as a risk factor or outcome typically measure levels in the blood at a single or widely spaced time points (e.g. every few years). While these are important health indicators, there has been an increasing appreciation that glucose levels and variability in free-living conditions during both the day and night, may also provide important health measures in clinical (e.g. diabetic or obese) and ‘healthy’ populations.

Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems measure interstitial glucose levels ‘continuously’ by implanting a sensor subcutaneously. This produces a sequence of measurements for each participant (e.g. the average glucose level every 5 minutes over several days), that can be used to assess how a person’s glucose levels vary over both the day and night. We have recently published a novel software package called GLU, for deriving a consistent set of summary variables from CGM data. The derived summary variables can be used in analyses to assess how different characteristics of glucose levels and variability relate to health exposures and outcomes.

Impact of research: 
Understanding which aspects of activity relate to glucose levels and glucose variability, and which aspects of glucose levels and glucose variability may impact offspring outcomes in early life.
Date proposal received: 
Friday, 24 July, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Wednesday, 5 August, 2020
Keywords: 
Epidemiology, Pregnancy - e.g. reproductive health, postnatal depression, birth outcomes, etc., Statistical methods, Biomarkers - e.g. cotinine, fatty acids, haemoglobin, etc., Birth outcomes, Physical - activity, fitness, function

B3586 - Super Cohort for COVID Research - 07/08/2020

B number: 
B3586
Principal applicant name: 
Andy Boyd | University of Bristol
Co-applicants: 
Prof. Jonathan Sterne, Prof. John Macleod, Prof. Nic Timpson, Dr Kate Northstone
Title of project: 
Super Cohort for COVID Research
Proposal summary: 

We propose that a ‘Super Cohort’ - comprising of multiple existing UK Longitudinal Population Studies (LPS), including ALSPAC/Children of the 90s – is formed. The data from ALSPAC participants will be linked to whole population NHS and subsequently administrative records and rapidly used for COVID-19 (COVID) research. This work is part of UK government strategy for COVID pandemic research developed by the NHS, government officials and academic health and social science research community. The Super Cohort envisages centralised (by UK nation) sets of key NHS records which are minimised to the purpose, joined together and regularly refreshed during the COVID pandemic. All records will be stored, processed and used for research in a 'Trusted Research Environment'. This is a high security research server which is de-identified and allows researchers to access individuals (including ALSPAC participants) records without revealing individual identities. No data is allowed to exit the server, only anonymous statistical research findings can be exported. These findings will contribute to government policy development and the international understanding of COVID as a disease and the impacts of social distancing and other protective measures.

Impact of research: 
The ability for longitudinal studies - including ALSPAC - to rapidly answer priority government policy questions using linked study and routine health and social and environmental data.
Date proposal received: 
Thursday, 30 July, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Friday, 31 July, 2020
Keywords: 
Epidemiology, COVID-19, Data Linkage

B3584 - Understanding the health implications of using different definitions of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder - 06/08/2020

B number: 
B3584
Principal applicant name: 
Kate Langley | Cardiff University (primary site) and University of Bristol (United Kingdom)
Co-applicants: 
Dr Joanna Martin, Dr Evie Stergiakouli
Title of project: 
Understanding the health implications of using different definitions of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder
Proposal summary: 

Individuals with Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) have difficulties with sustaining attention, being overactive and being impulsive. It is one of the most common childhood disorders and causes difficulties in school, and with family relationships and friendships, whilst those with ADHD are also at higher risk of other difficulties such as anxiety and depression both in childhood and later life. Not all individuals with ADHD have the same problems though, so it is important to understand who is at greatest risk of them. Difficulties with attention or hyperactivity are present across many people whilst only some have sufficient problems to be diagnosed with ADHD. International guidelines indicate where the dividing line between having a diagnosis or not is set, but we know that individuals who do not meet this diagnostic threshold can still have difficulties due to their ADHD symptoms whilst even in those with a diagnosis, the specific constellation of problem behaviours differs between individuals. This project aims to examine how differences in the symptom presentation and impairments in children are linked to other difficulties they have in childhood and as they grow into adulthood. It will also look at how genetic risks for ADHD and other disorders are related to these different presentations. This will be examined in both the general population (the ALSPAC cohort) and a clinical sample of children with ADHD, with additional replication in other international cohorts.

Impact of research: 
Increased understanding of the relationship between different presentations of ADHD behaviours and difficulties at both the disorder and subthreshold level. This can be informative for both our understanding of ADHD aetiologically and also for clinical understanding and planning for those with difficulties.
Date proposal received: 
Tuesday, 28 July, 2020
Date proposal approved: 
Tuesday, 28 July, 2020
Keywords: 
Mental health - Psychology, Psychiatry, Cognition, Mental health, Statistical methods, Genetic epidemiology

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